Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 08/11, 14:00
Prediction: HJK Helsinki vs AC Oulu
Team pages: HJK Helsinki · AC Oulu
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.24Total
HJK Helsinki2
AC Oulu1.24
1X2
HJK Helsinki
Draw
AC Oulu
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
HJK Helsinki
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
AC Oulu
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
HJK Helsinki
4–2
AC Oulu
(6 last)
- AC Oulu3-4HJK Helsinki
- AC Oulu0-1HJK Helsinki
- HJK Helsinki0-1AC Oulu
- AC Oulu2-1HJK Helsinki
- HJK Helsinki1-0AC Oulu
- HJK Helsinki3-1AC Oulu
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HJK Helsinki (rating 1572 vs 1512).
- H2H favours HJK Helsinki: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| HJK Helsinki | AC Oulu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 1 | 1.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.2 | 2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · HJK Helsinki 4–0–2 AC Oulu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/26 Finland Veikkausliiga | AC Oulu | 3-4 HT 0-2 | HJK Helsinki |
| 09/08/26 Finland Veikkausliiga | AC Oulu | 0-1 HT 0-1 | HJK Helsinki |
| 11/04/26 Finland Veikkausliiga | HJK Helsinki | 0-1 HT 0-1 | AC Oulu |
| 14/03/26 Finland Liigacup | AC Oulu | 2-1 HT 0-0 | HJK Helsinki |
| 21/08/25 Finland Cup | HJK Helsinki | 1-0 HT 0-0 | AC Oulu |
| 20/07/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | HJK Helsinki | 3-1 HT 2-0 | AC Oulu |
Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga · Veikkausliiga 2026, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HJK Helsinki | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 36 | 58 |
| 2 | FC Inter | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 58 |
| 3 | KuPS Kuopio | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 46 | 31 | 53 |
| 4 | AC Oulu | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 37 | 47 |
| 5 | IF Gnistan | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 47 | 46 | 43 |
| 6 | VPS Vaasa | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 31 | 38 | 40 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | HJK Helsinki | AC Oulu |
|---|---|---|
| VPS Vaasa | 4-0 W | 0-0 D |
| FC Inter | 4-2 W | 2-1 W |
| KuPS Kuopio | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| IF Gnistan | 4-0 W | 4-3 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: HJK Helsinki (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
HJK Helsinki
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
3-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 29/10 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
2-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 25/10 | KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 17/10 | IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 12/10 | AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga |
2-0 | 4-3 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 08/10 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
3-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 18/09 | IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 13/09 | KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 09/09 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 31/08 | FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
AC Oulu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 28/10 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 24/10 | IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga |
3-1 | 4-3 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 17/10 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/10 | HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 08/10 | KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 18/09 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 08/09 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 31/08 | SJK Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in HJK Helsinki vs AC Oulu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a HJK Helsinki win (54%). Probabilities: HJK Helsinki 54%, draw 24%, AC Oulu 22%.
How many goals are expected in HJK Helsinki vs AC Oulu?
The model expects 3.24 goals (HJK Helsinki 2 · AC Oulu 1.24), with a 58% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in HJK Helsinki vs AC Oulu?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.