Football · Panama Liga Prom · 04/09, 16:00

Prediction: Plaza Amador Reserves vs Champions FC Academy

Team pages: Plaza Amador Reserves · Champions FC Academy

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.13Total

Plaza Amador Reserves2.53

Champions FC Academy1.6

1X2

56% 21% 22%

Plaza Amador Reserves Draw Champions FC Academy

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Plaza Amador Reserves 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDDDLWLLWL

Champions FC Academy 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDLWLLWLDL

Head-to-head

Plaza Amador Reserves 3–3 Champions FC Academy (6 last)

Plaza Amador Reserves6-0Champions FC Academy
Champions FC Academy3-4Plaza Amador Reserves
Plaza Amador Reserves5-1Champions FC Academy
Champions FC Academy3-0Plaza Amador Reserves
Plaza Amador Reserves0-2Champions FC Academy
Plaza Amador Reserves1-3Champions FC Academy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Plaza Amador Reserves 1503 · Champions FC Academy 1429

	Plaza Amador Reserves	Draw	Champions FC Academy
Our model	57%	20%	23%
Market	56%	22%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 4.13 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Plaza Amador Reserves (rating 1503 vs 1429).
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Plaza Amador Reserves	Champions FC Academy
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.8	1.2 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.6 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.4	1.3 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.2	4.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.60

X4.00

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.95

2 (+1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:38 +24’	1.60	4.00	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Plaza Amador Reserves 3–0–3 Champions FC Academy

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/03/26 Panama Liga Prom	Plaza Amador Reserves	6-0	Champions FC Academy
06/09/25 Panama Liga Prom	Champions FC Academy	3-4 HT 2-2	Plaza Amador Reserves
11/03/25 Panama Liga Prom	Plaza Amador Reserves	5-1 HT 2-1	Champions FC Academy
21/09/24 Panama Liga Prom	Champions FC Academy	3-0 HT 1-0	Plaza Amador Reserves
05/04/24 Panama Liga Prom	Plaza Amador Reserves	0-2 HT 0-0	Champions FC Academy
25/08/23 Panama Liga Prom	Plaza Amador Reserves	1-3 HT 0-1	Champions FC Academy

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chorrillo	6	3	3	0	10	3	12
2	Tauro FC Reserves	6	3	2	1	11	6	11
3	Potros Del Este	6	3	1	2	7	6	10
4	Plaza Amador Reserves	6	2	0	4	7	11	6
5	Alianza FC Reserves	6	1	2	3	5	11	5
6	San Martin FC	6	1	0	5	8	12	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Plaza Amador Reserves	Champions FC Academy
Academia Costa Del Este	0-3 L	0-1 L
Tauro FC Reserves	0-1 L	1-5 L
CD Arabe Unido Reserves	4-4 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Plaza Amador Reserves

WDDDLWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-3	0	5	L
22/08	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	1-0	3-2	4	3	W
12/08	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-3	4	3	L
07/08	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-1	7	7	L
31/07	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	4-1	4	3	W
25/07	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
13/05	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-2	4-4	8	4	D
09/05	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	1-1	1-1	2	9	D
05/05	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
29/04	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-0	6	1	W

Champions FC Academy

LDLWLLWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-2	1-5	4	5	L
21/08	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-2	2-2	3	6	D
15/08	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-2	1-3	6	6	L
07/08	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	4-1	5-3	3	5	W
02/08	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
24/07	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
30/04	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	2-1	4	3	W
25/04	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-3	0-9	5	8	L
18/04	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
11/04	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-2	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Plaza Amador Reserves vs Champions FC Academy?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Plaza Amador Reserves win (56%). Probabilities: Plaza Amador Reserves 56%, draw 21%, Champions FC Academy 22%.

How many goals are expected in Plaza Amador Reserves vs Champions FC Academy?

The model expects 4.13 goals (Plaza Amador Reserves 2.53 · Champions FC Academy 1.6), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Plaza Amador Reserves vs Champions FC Academy?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.