Football · Panama Liga Prom · 04/09, 01:00
Prediction: Tauro FC Reserves vs UMECIT Reserves
Team pages: Tauro FC Reserves · UMECIT Reserves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.88Total
Tauro FC Reserves1.55
UMECIT Reserves1.33
1X2
Tauro FC Reserves
Draw
UMECIT Reserves
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Tauro FC Reserves
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
UMECIT Reserves
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tauro FC Reserves
3–1–2
UMECIT Reserves
(6 last)
- Tauro FC Reserves2-1UMECIT Reserves
- Tauro FC Reserves0-1UMECIT Reserves
- UMECIT Reserves0-2Tauro FC Reserves
- Tauro FC Reserves1-0UMECIT Reserves
- UMECIT Reserves2-1Tauro FC Reserves
- Tauro FC Reserves1-1UMECIT Reserves
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tauro FC Reserves 1555 · UMECIT Reserves 1514
| Tauro FC Reserves | Draw | UMECIT Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 27% | 32% |
| Market | 42% | 26% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tauro FC Reserves (rating 1555 vs 1514).
- H2H favours Tauro FC Reserves: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tauro FC Reserves | UMECIT Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.8 | 1.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/33/22% | 43/57/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.1 | 2.2 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.4 | 4.2 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tauro FC Reserves 3–1–2 UMECIT Reserves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Panama Liga Prom | Tauro FC Reserves | 2-1 HT 1-1 | UMECIT Reserves |
| 29/08/25 Panama Liga Prom | Tauro FC Reserves | 0-1 HT 0-0 | UMECIT Reserves |
| 26/02/25 Panama Liga Prom | UMECIT Reserves | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Tauro FC Reserves |
| 14/09/24 Panama Liga Prom | Tauro FC Reserves | 1-0 HT 0-0 | UMECIT Reserves |
| 23/03/24 Panama Liga Prom | UMECIT Reserves | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Tauro FC Reserves |
| 23/09/23 Panama Liga Prom | Tauro FC Reserves | 1-1 HT 0-0 | UMECIT Reserves |
Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chorrillo | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | Tauro FC Reserves | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Potros Del Este | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | Plaza Amador Reserves | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 6 |
| 5 | Alianza FC Reserves | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 5 |
| 6 | San Martin FC | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 3 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tauro FC Reserves | UMECIT Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| Champions FC Academy | 5-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Potros Del Este | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tauro FC Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom |
2-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 10 | D |
| 16/08 | San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/07 | Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 30/04 | Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 4-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 23/04 | Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom |
4-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 19/04 | San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 09/04 | Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
UMECIT Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 24/08 | Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 30/07 | Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 24/07 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 01/05 | Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/04 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
2-0 | 5-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tauro FC Reserves vs UMECIT Reserves?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tauro FC Reserves win (42%). Probabilities: Tauro FC Reserves 42%, draw 27%, UMECIT Reserves 32%.
How many goals are expected in Tauro FC Reserves vs UMECIT Reserves?
The model expects 2.88 goals (Tauro FC Reserves 1.55 · UMECIT Reserves 1.33), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Tauro FC Reserves vs UMECIT Reserves?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.