Football · Brazil Serie C · 20/09, 21:00

Prediction: Santa Cruz FC vs Floresta EC

Team pages: Santa Cruz FC · Floresta EC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.94Total
Santa Cruz FC1.32
Floresta EC0.61
1X2
53% 30% 17%
Santa Cruz FC Draw Floresta EC
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
Santa Cruz FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWWLDLWDWW
Floresta EC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WDDDLWWWLW
Head-to-head
Santa Cruz FC 1–3–0 Floresta EC (4 last)
  • Floresta EC1-1Santa Cruz FC
  • Santa Cruz FC3-3Floresta EC
  • Floresta EC0-2Santa Cruz FC
  • Santa Cruz FC0-0Floresta EC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Santa Cruz FC 1552 · Floresta EC 1533
Santa Cruz FCDrawFloresta EC
Our model53%31%16%
Market54%29%17%
Estimated total (ours) 1.94 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Santa Cruz FCFloresta EC
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 0.71 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.30.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/20/30%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 41.7 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.13.5 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Santa Cruz FC 130 Floresta EC

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DateHomeScoreAway
11/04/26
Brazil Serie C
Floresta EC1-1
HT 1-1
Santa Cruz FC
20/10/21
Brazil Copa Nordeste
Santa Cruz FC3-3
HT 1-1
Floresta EC
07/08/21
Brazil Serie C
Floresta EC0-2
HT 0-1
Santa Cruz FC
05/06/21
Brazil Serie C
Santa Cruz FC0-0
HT 0-0
Floresta EC

Standings · Brazil Serie C · Brasileiro Serie C 2026, Main Round, Group B

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Santa Cruz FC 220 206
2 Floresta EC 211 113
2 Maringa FC 211 113
4 Botafogo PB 202 020

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSanta Cruz FCFloresta EC
Maringa FC 1-0 W 0-1 L
Botafogo PB 1-0 W 1-0 W
Anapolis FC 1-1 D 1-0 W
Caxias RS 2-0 W 0-0 D
Barra FC 2-1 W 2-1 W
Ituano 1-0 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 5 W 1 D 0 L 4 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Santa Cruz FC

WWWLDLWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Maringa FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 55 W
06/09 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 54 W
29/08 Anapolis FC
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-1 44 D
23/08 Caxias RS
Brazil Serie C
1-0 2-0 34 W
16/08 Maranhao
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 67 L
08/08 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
0-1 2-2 23 D
25/07 Figueirense
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 109 L
12/07 Barra FC
Brazil Serie C
2-0 2-1 25 W
05/07 Ituano
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 16 W
27/06 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
2-0 3-1 24 W

Floresta EC

WDDDLWWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 67 W
06/09 Maringa FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 01 L
29/08 Ituano
Brazil Serie C
1-0 2-0 55 W
22/08 Volta Redonda
Brazil Serie C
1-1 2-1 21 W
16/08 Anapolis FC
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 76 W
09/08 Ypiranga RS
Brazil Serie C
0-3 1-4 46 L
28/07 Maringa FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-1 40 D
11/07 Caxias RS
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 02 D
05/07 Guarani
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 37 D
27/06 Barra FC
Brazil Serie C
1-0 2-1 90 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Santa Cruz FC vs Floresta EC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Santa Cruz FC win (53%). Probabilities: Santa Cruz FC 53%, draw 30%, Floresta EC 17%.

How many goals are expected in Santa Cruz FC vs Floresta EC?

The model expects 1.94 goals (Santa Cruz FC 1.32 · Floresta EC 0.61), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Santa Cruz FC vs Floresta EC?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.