Football · Brazil Serie C · 20/09, 23:30

Prediction: Ferroviaria SP vs Brusque

Team pages: Ferroviaria SP · Brusque

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.5Total
Ferroviaria SP1.55
Brusque0.95
1X2
50% 28% 22%
Ferroviaria SP Draw Brusque
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Ferroviaria SP 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LLWDDWLWDW
Brusque 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LWLWLWDDWD
Head-to-head
Ferroviaria SP 1–0 Brusque (1 last)
  • Ferroviaria SP1-0Brusque
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ferroviaria SP 1525 · Brusque 1507
Ferroviaria SPDrawBrusque
Our model50%28%22%
Market50%28%22%
Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ferroviaria SPBrusque
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 0.91.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.10.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/70/0%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.2 / 6.22 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.7 / 0.34.8 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ferroviaria SP 100 Brusque

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/05/26
Brazil Serie C
Ferroviaria SP1-0
HT 0-0
Brusque

Standings · Brazil Serie C · Brasileiro Serie C 2026, Main Round, Group C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Brusque 2110 434
1 Ferroviaria SP 2110 434
3 Inter de Limeira 2020 552
4 Paysandu 2002 130

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFerroviaria SPBrusque
Paysandu 1-0 W 2-1 W
Inter de Limeira 3-3 D 2-2 D
Figueirense 2-2 D 3-1 W
Maranhao 0-0 D 1-2 L
Ituano 3-1 W 1-0 W
Itabaiana 0-1 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 1 L 3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Ferroviaria SP (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ferroviaria SP

LLWDDWLWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 66 W
05/09 Inter de Limeira
Brazil Serie C
1-1 3-3 65 D
29/08 AD Confianca
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 103 W
23/08 Ypiranga RS
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 35 L
18/08 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
2-0 4-0 711 W
08/08 Figueirense
Brazil Serie C
1-0 2-2 37 D
25/07 Maranhao
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 118 D
12/07 Ituano
Brazil Serie C
0-0 3-1 56 W
05/07 Caxias RS
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 83 L
28/06 Itabaiana
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 36 L

Brusque

LWLWLWDDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Inter de Limeira
Brazil Serie C
1-1 2-2 44 D
07/09 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
2-1 2-1 39 W
29/08 Guarani
Brazil Serie C
0-1 2-2 75 D
23/08 Amazonas FC
Brazil Serie C
1-1 1-1 85 D
16/08 Inter de Limeira
Brazil Serie C
1-1 3-2 34 W
09/08 Maranhao
Brazil Serie C
1-1 1-2 83 L
26/07 Ituano
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 46 W
14/07 Itabaiana
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 53 L
07/07 Figueirense
Brazil Serie C
1-0 3-1 56 W
01/07 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-2 94 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ferroviaria SP vs Brusque?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ferroviaria SP win (50%). Probabilities: Ferroviaria SP 50%, draw 28%, Brusque 22%.

How many goals are expected in Ferroviaria SP vs Brusque?

The model expects 2.5 goals (Ferroviaria SP 1.55 · Brusque 0.95), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Ferroviaria SP vs Brusque?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.