Football · Brazil Serie C · 26/09, 22:00

Prediction: Floresta EC vs Santa Cruz FC

Team pages: Floresta EC · Santa Cruz FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.73Total
Floresta EC0.97
Santa Cruz FC0.76
1X2
39% 34% 27%
Floresta EC Draw Santa Cruz FC
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 53% Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0 19%
Recent form · 10 last
Floresta EC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DDDLWWWLWL
Santa Cruz FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWLDLWDWWW
Head-to-head
Floresta EC 0–3–2 Santa Cruz FC (5 last)
  • Santa Cruz FC1-0Floresta EC
  • Floresta EC1-1Santa Cruz FC
  • Santa Cruz FC3-3Floresta EC
  • Floresta EC0-2Santa Cruz FC
  • Santa Cruz FC0-0Floresta EC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Floresta EC 1515 · Santa Cruz FC 1551
Floresta ECDrawSanta Cruz FC
Our model38%36%26%
Market40%32%28%
Estimated total (ours) 1.73 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Santa Cruz FC: 2-3-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Floresta ECSanta Cruz FC
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 0.81.1 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.50.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 3.62.6 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 04.6 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Floresta EC 032 Santa Cruz FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/09/26
Brazil Serie C
Santa Cruz FC1-0
HT 1-0
Floresta EC
11/04/26
Brazil Serie C
Floresta EC1-1
HT 1-1
Santa Cruz FC
20/10/21
Brazil Copa Nordeste
Santa Cruz FC3-3
HT 1-1
Floresta EC
07/08/21
Brazil Serie C
Floresta EC0-2
HT 0-1
Santa Cruz FC
05/06/21
Brazil Serie C
Santa Cruz FC0-0
HT 0-0
Floresta EC

Standings · Brazil Serie C · Brasileiro Serie C 2026, Main Round, Group B

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Santa Cruz FC 330 309
2 Maringa FC 321 316
3 Floresta EC 312 123
4 Botafogo PB 303 040

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFloresta ECSanta Cruz FC
Botafogo PB 1-0 W 1-0 W
Maringa FC 0-1 L 1-0 W
Ituano 2-0 W 1-0 W
Anapolis FC 1-0 W 1-1 D
Caxias RS 0-0 D 2-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 1 L 4 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Floresta EC

DDDLWWWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 50 L
12/09 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 67 W
06/09 Maringa FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 01 L
29/08 Ituano
Brazil Serie C
1-0 2-0 55 W
22/08 Volta Redonda
Brazil Serie C
1-1 2-1 21 W
16/08 Anapolis FC
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 76 W
09/08 Ypiranga RS
Brazil Serie C
0-3 1-4 46 L
28/07 Maringa FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-1 40 D
11/07 Caxias RS
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 02 D
05/07 Guarani
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 37 D

Santa Cruz FC

WWLDLWDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Floresta EC
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 60 W
13/09 Maringa FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 55 W
06/09 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 54 W
29/08 Anapolis FC
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-1 44 D
23/08 Caxias RS
Brazil Serie C
1-0 2-0 34 W
16/08 Maranhao
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 67 L
08/08 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
0-1 2-2 23 D
25/07 Figueirense
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 109 L
12/07 Barra FC
Brazil Serie C
2-0 2-1 25 W
05/07 Ituano
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 16 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Floresta EC vs Santa Cruz FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Floresta EC win (39%). Probabilities: Floresta EC 39%, draw 34%, Santa Cruz FC 27%.

How many goals are expected in Floresta EC vs Santa Cruz FC?

The model expects 1.73 goals (Floresta EC 0.97 · Santa Cruz FC 0.76), with a 54% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Floresta EC vs Santa Cruz FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.