Football · Brazil Serie C · 27/09, 23:30

Prediction: Brusque vs Ferroviaria SP

Team pages: Brusque · Ferroviaria SP

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.62Total
Brusque1.45
Ferroviaria SP1.17
1X2
42% 29% 29%
Brusque Draw Ferroviaria SP
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Brusque 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WLWLWDDWDL
Ferroviaria SP 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
LWDDWLWDWW
Head-to-head
Brusque 0–2 Ferroviaria SP (2 last)
  • Ferroviaria SP3-2Brusque
  • Ferroviaria SP1-0Brusque
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brusque 1506 · Ferroviaria SP 1544
BrusqueDrawFerroviaria SP
Our model42%28%29%
Market42%29%29%
Estimated total (ours) 2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Ferroviaria SP: 2-0-0.
  • High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 11.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BrusqueFerroviaria SP
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.51.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.80.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 53.5 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.5 / 0.16.2 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brusque 002 Ferroviaria SP

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/09/26
Brazil Serie C
Ferroviaria SP3-2
HT 1-1
Brusque
17/05/26
Brazil Serie C
Ferroviaria SP1-0
HT 0-0
Brusque

Standings · Brazil Serie C · Brasileiro Serie C 2026, Main Round, Group C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Ferroviaria SP 3210 757
2 Brusque 3111 664
3 Inter de Limeira 3030 773
4 Paysandu 3012 351

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBrusqueFerroviaria SP
Inter de Limeira 2-2 D 3-3 D
Paysandu 2-1 W 1-0 W
Maranhao 1-2 L 0-0 D
Ituano 1-0 W 3-1 W
Figueirense 3-1 W 2-2 D
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 1 L 2 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Ferroviaria SP (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brusque

WLWLWDDWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Ferroviaria SP
Brazil Serie C
1-1 2-3 311 L
13/09 Inter de Limeira
Brazil Serie C
1-1 2-2 44 D
07/09 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
2-1 2-1 39 W
29/08 Guarani
Brazil Serie C
0-1 2-2 75 D
23/08 Amazonas FC
Brazil Serie C
1-1 1-1 85 D
16/08 Inter de Limeira
Brazil Serie C
1-1 3-2 34 W
09/08 Maranhao
Brazil Serie C
1-1 1-2 83 L
26/07 Ituano
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 46 W
14/07 Itabaiana
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 53 L
07/07 Figueirense
Brazil Serie C
1-0 3-1 56 W

Ferroviaria SP

LWDDWLWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Brusque
Brazil Serie C
1-1 3-2 1011 W
13/09 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 66 W
05/09 Inter de Limeira
Brazil Serie C
1-1 3-3 65 D
29/08 AD Confianca
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 103 W
23/08 Ypiranga RS
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 35 L
18/08 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
2-0 4-0 711 W
08/08 Figueirense
Brazil Serie C
1-0 2-2 37 D
25/07 Maranhao
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 118 D
12/07 Ituano
Brazil Serie C
0-0 3-1 56 W
05/07 Caxias RS
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 83 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brusque vs Ferroviaria SP?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brusque win (42%). Probabilities: Brusque 42%, draw 29%, Ferroviaria SP 29%.

How many goals are expected in Brusque vs Ferroviaria SP?

The model expects 2.62 goals (Brusque 1.45 · Ferroviaria SP 1.17), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Brusque vs Ferroviaria SP?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.