Football · Brazil Serie C · 03/10, 22:00

Prediction: Santa Cruz FC vs Maringa FC

Team pages: Santa Cruz FC · Maringa FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.88Total
Santa Cruz FC1.07
Maringa FC0.81
1X2
41% 32% 27%
Santa Cruz FC Draw Maringa FC
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 57% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Santa Cruz FC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WLDLWDWWWD
Maringa FC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WDLDWWWLWD
Head-to-head
Santa Cruz FC 1–1–0 Maringa FC (2 last)
  • Maringa FC0-1Santa Cruz FC
  • Maringa FC1-1Santa Cruz FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Santa Cruz FC 1543 · Maringa FC 1536
Santa Cruz FCDrawMaringa FC
Our model40%34%26%
Market42%30%28%
Estimated total (ours) 1.88 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Santa Cruz FCMaringa FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 0.70.9 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.40 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/10/40%0/90/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 4.94 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.9 / 0.24.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Santa Cruz FC 1–1–0 Maringa FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/09/26
Brazil Serie C
Maringa FC0-1
HT 0-0
Santa Cruz FC
24/05/26
Brazil Serie C
Maringa FC1-1
HT 1-1
Santa Cruz FC

Standings · Brazil Serie C · Brasileiro Serie C 2026, Main Round, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Santa Cruz FC 4310 4110
2 Maringa FC 4211 317
3 Floresta EC 4112 234
4 Botafogo PB 4013 041

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSanta Cruz FCMaringa FC
Floresta EC 1-1 D 1-0 W
Botafogo PB 1-0 W 0-0 D
Anapolis FC 1-1 D 1-0 W
Barra FC 2-1 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 0 L 3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Maringa FC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Santa Cruz FC

WLDLWDWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Floresta EC
Brazil Serie C
0-1 1-1 38 D
20/09 Floresta EC
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 60 W
13/09 Maringa FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 55 W
06/09 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 54 W
29/08 Anapolis FC
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-1 44 D
23/08 Caxias RS
Brazil Serie C
1-0 2-0 34 W
16/08 Maranhao
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 67 L
08/08 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
0-1 2-2 –– D
25/07 Figueirense
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 109 L
12/07 Barra FC
Brazil Serie C
2-0 2-1 25 W

Maringa FC

WDLDWWWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 57 D
19/09 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-0 106 W
13/09 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 95 L
06/09 Floresta EC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 61 W
29/08 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 43 W
23/08 Barra FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-1 65 W
16/08 AD Confianca
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-1 76 D
09/08 Amazonas FC
Brazil Serie C
0-2 0-3 –– L
28/07 Floresta EC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-1 60 D
12/07 Anapolis FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 65 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Santa Cruz FC vs Maringa FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Santa Cruz FC win (41%). Probabilities: Santa Cruz FC 41%, draw 32%, Maringa FC 27%.

How many goals are expected in Santa Cruz FC vs Maringa FC?

The model expects 1.88 goals (Santa Cruz FC 1.07 · Maringa FC 0.81), with a 56% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Santa Cruz FC vs Maringa FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.