Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 11/09, 04:00
Prediction: Xelaju vs Coban Imperial
Team pages: Xelaju · Coban Imperial
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.11Total
Xelaju2.16
Coban Imperial0.96
1X2
Xelaju
Draw
Coban Imperial
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Xelaju
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Coban Imperial
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Xelaju
3–1–2
Coban Imperial
(6 last)
- Xelaju2-1Coban Imperial
- Coban Imperial1-1Xelaju
- Xelaju3-1Coban Imperial
- Coban Imperial2-1Xelaju
- Xelaju2-0Coban Imperial
- Coban Imperial1-0Xelaju
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xelaju 1531 · Coban Imperial 1429
| Xelaju | Draw | Coban Imperial | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 21% | 15% |
| Market | 64% | 22% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Xelaju (rating 1531 vs 1429).
- H2H favours Xelaju: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Xelaju | Coban Imperial | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.5 | 1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.1 | 2.4 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.6 | 6.1 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Xelaju 3–1–2 Coban Imperial
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Xelaju | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Coban Imperial |
| 05/03/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Coban Imperial | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Xelaju |
| 22/11/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Xelaju | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Coban Imperial |
| 16/09/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Coban Imperial | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Xelaju |
| 25/04/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Xelaju | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Coban Imperial |
| 22/02/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Coban Imperial | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Xelaju |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSD Municipal | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 16 |
| 2 | Antigua GFC | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Deportivo San Pedro | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Guastatoya | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 12 |
| 5 | Xelaju | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | Deportivo Mixco | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
| 7 | Aurora | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 9 |
| 8 | Marquense | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 9 |
| 9 | CSD Comunicaciones | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| 10 | Malacateco | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 8 |
| 11 | Coban Imperial | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 4 |
| 12 | Suchitepequez | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Xelaju | Coban Imperial |
|---|---|---|
| Marquense | 4-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Deportivo Mixco | 4-1 W | 3-2 W |
| CSD Municipal | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Malacateco | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Xelaju (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xelaju
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 31/08 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 04/08 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 25/07 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 11/05 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
Coban Imperial
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 24/08 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/08 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 15/08 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 10/08 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 02/05 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 11 | L |
| 29/04 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xelaju vs Coban Imperial?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Xelaju win (64%). Probabilities: Xelaju 64%, draw 22%, Coban Imperial 15%.
How many goals are expected in Xelaju vs Coban Imperial?
The model expects 3.11 goals (Xelaju 2.16 · Coban Imperial 0.96), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Xelaju vs Coban Imperial?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.