Football · Türkiye Super Lig · 06/09, 19:00
Prediction: Trabzonspor vs Genclerbirligi
Team pages: Trabzonspor · Genclerbirligi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
Trabzonspor1.88
Genclerbirligi0.89
1X2
Trabzonspor
Draw
Genclerbirligi
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Trabzonspor
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Genclerbirligi
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Trabzonspor
3–1–2
Genclerbirligi
(6 last)
- Trabzonspor0-3Genclerbirligi
- Genclerbirligi1-2Trabzonspor
- Genclerbirligi4-3Trabzonspor
- Genclerbirligi1-1Trabzonspor
- Trabzonspor2-1Genclerbirligi
- Genclerbirligi1-2Trabzonspor
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Trabzonspor 1473 · Genclerbirligi 1537
| Trabzonspor | Draw | Genclerbirligi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 24% | 16% |
| Market | 60% | 23% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Genclerbirligi (rating 1473 vs 1537).
- H2H favours Trabzonspor: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Trabzonspor | Genclerbirligi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 22/33/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5 | 1.4 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Trabzonspor 3–1–2 Genclerbirligi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Türkiye Super Lig | Trabzonspor | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Genclerbirligi |
| 13/05/26 Türkiye Cup | Genclerbirligi | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Trabzonspor |
| 22/12/25 Türkiye Super Lig | Genclerbirligi | 4-3 HT 2-1 | Trabzonspor |
| 08/02/24 Türkiye Cup | Genclerbirligi | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Trabzonspor |
| 15/05/21 Türkiye Super Lig | Trabzonspor | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Genclerbirligi |
| 23/01/21 Türkiye Super Lig | Genclerbirligi | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Trabzonspor |
Standings · Türkiye Super Lig
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Genclerbirligi | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Besiktas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Fenerbahce | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Amedspor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Kocaelispor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Caykur Rizespor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Kasimpasa | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Samsunspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Trabzonspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 12 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 14 | Eyupspor | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | Goztepe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 1 |
| 16 | Corum Belediyespor | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 1 |
| 17 | Erzurumspor FK | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
| 18 | Konyaspor | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Trabzonspor | Genclerbirligi |
|---|---|---|
| Istanbul Basaksehir | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Kasimpasa | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Goztepe | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Galatasaray | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Trabzonspor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Amedspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | Istanbul Basaksehir Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | Kasimpasa Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Genclerbirligi Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Besiktas Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Goztepe Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 27/04 | Konyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Istanbul Basaksehir Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 11/04 | Alanyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 04/04 | Galatasaray Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
Genclerbirligi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Erzurumspor FK Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | Goztepe Türkiye Super Lig |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Fenerbahce Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Trabzonspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Kasimpasa Türkiye Super Lig |
2-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 13 | W |
| 03/05 | Fatih Karagumruk Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Kocaelispor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Galatasaray Türkiye Super Lig |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | Istanbul Basaksehir Türkiye Super Lig |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | Goztepe Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Trabzonspor vs Genclerbirligi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Trabzonspor win (60%). Probabilities: Trabzonspor 60%, draw 24%, Genclerbirligi 17%.
How many goals are expected in Trabzonspor vs Genclerbirligi?
The model expects 2.77 goals (Trabzonspor 1.88 · Genclerbirligi 0.89), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Trabzonspor vs Genclerbirligi?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.