Football · Türkiye Super Lig · 12/09, 16:00
Prediction: Eyupspor vs Caykur Rizespor
Team pages: Eyupspor · Caykur Rizespor
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
Eyupspor1.2
Caykur Rizespor1.6
1X2
Eyupspor
Draw
Caykur Rizespor
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Eyupspor
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Caykur Rizespor
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Eyupspor
1–1–4
Caykur Rizespor
(6 last)
- Eyupspor4-0Caykur Rizespor
- Caykur Rizespor3-0Eyupspor
- Caykur Rizespor1-0Eyupspor
- Eyupspor1-2Caykur Rizespor
- Eyupspor0-1Caykur Rizespor
- Caykur Rizespor0-0Eyupspor
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eyupspor 1490 · Caykur Rizespor 1541
| Eyupspor | Draw | Caykur Rizespor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 27% | 45% |
| Market | 27% | 28% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Caykur Rizespor (rating 1490 vs 1541).
- H2H favours Caykur Rizespor: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Eyupspor | Caykur Rizespor | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.3 | 1.6 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 2.9 | 2.6 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.4 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Eyupspor 1–1–4 Caykur Rizespor
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Türkiye Super Lig | Eyupspor | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Caykur Rizespor |
| 13/12/25 Türkiye Super Lig | Caykur Rizespor | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Eyupspor |
| 20/04/25 Türkiye Super Lig | Caykur Rizespor | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Eyupspor |
| 23/11/24 Türkiye Super Lig | Eyupspor | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Caykur Rizespor |
| 26/03/23 Türkiye 1 Lig | Eyupspor | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Caykur Rizespor |
| 15/10/22 Türkiye 1 Lig | Caykur Rizespor | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Eyupspor |
Standings · Türkiye Super Lig
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Besiktas | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Kocaelispor | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Amedspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 6 | Genclerbirligi | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 7 | Fenerbahce | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | Kasimpasa | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 9 | Caykur Rizespor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 10 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 | Samsunspor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 14 | Corum Belediyespor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 4 |
| 15 | Erzurumspor FK | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4 |
| 16 | Eyupspor | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
| 17 | Goztepe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 1 |
| 18 | Konyaspor | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Eyupspor | Caykur Rizespor |
|---|---|---|
| Gazisehir Gaziantep FK | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Besiktas | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Fenerbahce | 3-3 D | 2-2 D |
| Kayserispor | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Samsunspor | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eyupspor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Corum Belediyespor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Alanyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 16/08 | Besiktas Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Fenerbahce Türkiye Super Lig |
2-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 09/05 | Caykur Rizespor Türkiye Super Lig |
3-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | Kayserispor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Fatih Karagumruk Türkiye Super Lig |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/04 | Samsunspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
Caykur Rizespor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK Türkiye Super Lig |
2-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Samsunspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Konyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 15/05 | Besiktas Türkiye Super Lig |
2-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Eyupspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-3 | 0-4 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 01/05 | Konyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Kayserispor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 17/04 | Fenerbahce Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 13/04 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 09/04 | Samsunspor Türkiye Super Lig |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eyupspor vs Caykur Rizespor?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Caykur Rizespor win (45%). Probabilities: Eyupspor 27%, draw 28%, Caykur Rizespor 45%.
How many goals are expected in Eyupspor vs Caykur Rizespor?
The model expects 2.8 goals (Eyupspor 1.2 · Caykur Rizespor 1.6), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Eyupspor vs Caykur Rizespor?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.