Prediction: Istanbul Basaksehir vs Galatasaray
Team pages: Istanbul Basaksehir · Galatasaray
- Galatasaray3-0Istanbul Basaksehir
- Galatasaray1-0Istanbul Basaksehir
- Istanbul Basaksehir1-2Galatasaray
- Galatasaray2-0Istanbul Basaksehir
- Istanbul Basaksehir1-2Galatasaray
- Galatasaray2-2Istanbul Basaksehir
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Galatasaray | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 25% | 51% |
| Market | 24% | 24% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Galatasaray: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Galatasaray | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.8 | 2.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.2 | 1.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.7 | 2.8 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Istanbul Basaksehir 0–1–5 Galatasaray
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Türkiye Super Lig | Galatasaray | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 18/12/25 Türkiye Cup | Galatasaray | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 18/10/25 Türkiye Super Lig | Istanbul Basaksehir | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Galatasaray |
| 30/05/25 Türkiye Super Lig | Galatasaray | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 12/01/25 Türkiye Super Lig | Istanbul Basaksehir | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Galatasaray |
| 08/01/25 Türkiye Cup | Galatasaray | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Istanbul Basaksehir |
Standings · Türkiye Super Lig
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Genclerbirligi | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Besiktas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Fenerbahce | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Kocaelispor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Caykur Rizespor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Kasimpasa | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Samsunspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 | Amedspor | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | Eyupspor | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | Goztepe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 1 |
| 16 | Corum Belediyespor | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 1 |
| 17 | Erzurumspor FK | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
| 18 | Konyaspor | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Istanbul Basaksehir | Galatasaray |
|---|---|---|
| Kasimpasa | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Kocaelispor | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Samsunspor | 3-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Fenerbahce | 1-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Genclerbirligi | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Istanbul Basaksehir (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Istanbul Basaksehir
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Kasimpasa Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | Trabzonspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 16/08 | Kocaelispor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK Türkiye Super Lig |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Samsunspor Türkiye Super Lig |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Fenerbahce Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 24/04 | Kasimpasa Türkiye Super Lig |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | Trabzonspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 11/04 | Genclerbirligi Türkiye Super Lig |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 06/04 | Kocaelispor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
Galatasaray
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Goztepe Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 21/08 | Erzurumspor FK Türkiye Super Lig |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 14/08 | Corum Belediyespor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Kasimpasa Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Antalyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Samsunspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Fenerbahce Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 11 | W |
| 18/04 | Genclerbirligi Türkiye Super Lig |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Kocaelispor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 08/04 | Goztepe Türkiye Super Lig |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Istanbul Basaksehir vs Galatasaray?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Galatasaray win (51%). Probabilities: Istanbul Basaksehir 24%, draw 25%, Galatasaray 51%.
How many goals are expected in Istanbul Basaksehir vs Galatasaray?
The model expects 3.03 goals (Istanbul Basaksehir 1.2 · Galatasaray 1.83), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Istanbul Basaksehir vs Galatasaray?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.