Football · Kosovo Superliga · 05/09, 19:00

Prediction: KF Drita vs KF Drenica Skenderaj

Team pages: KF Drita · KF Drenica Skenderaj

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.57Total

KF Drita1.81

KF Drenica Skenderaj0.75

1X2

62% 24% 14%

KF Drita Draw KF Drenica Skenderaj

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-0 13%

Recent form · 10 last

KF Drita 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLLLWW

KF Drenica Skenderaj 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWWDDL

Head-to-head

KF Drita 3–3 KF Drenica Skenderaj (6 last)

KF Drenica Skenderaj1-0KF Drita
KF Drita1-0KF Drenica Skenderaj
KF Drenica Skenderaj3-1KF Drita
KF Drita0-1KF Drenica Skenderaj
KF Drenica Skenderaj1-3KF Drita
KF Drita3-0KF Drenica Skenderaj

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KF Drita 1538 · KF Drenica Skenderaj 1530

	KF Drita	Draw	KF Drenica Skenderaj
Our model	62%	24%	14%
Market	62%	23%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KF Drita	KF Drenica Skenderaj
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.1	1.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	38/38/25%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.5 / 3.8	1.8 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.2	6.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.42

X3.90

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.98

2 (+1.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.93

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.38 → 1.42▲	Bet365 1.42
X	4.10 → 3.90▼	Bet365 3.90
2	6.50 → 6.00▼	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
14:13 +7’	1.38	4.10	6.50
09:41 +12’	1.42▲	3.90▼	6.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · KF Drita 3–0–3 KF Drenica Skenderaj

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Kosovo Superliga	KF Drenica Skenderaj	1-0	KF Drita
14/02/26 Kosovo Superliga	KF Drita	1-0 HT 0-0	KF Drenica Skenderaj
29/10/25 Kosovo Superliga	KF Drenica Skenderaj	3-1 HT 0-0	KF Drita
17/09/25 Kosovo Superliga	KF Drita	0-1 HT 0-1	KF Drenica Skenderaj
28/05/23 Kosovo Superliga	KF Drenica Skenderaj	1-3 HT 1-1	KF Drita
02/04/23 Kosovo Superliga	KF Drita	3-0 HT 0-0	KF Drenica Skenderaj

Standings · Kosovo Superliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Prishtina	3	3	0	0	9	2	9
2	Malisheva	3	2	1	0	10	2	7
3	KF Gjilani	3	2	1	0	7	3	7
4	KF Drita	2	2	0	0	6	3	6
5	KF Ballkani	3	2	0	1	6	5	6
6	KF Dukagjini	3	1	2	0	3	2	5
7	KF Drenica Skenderaj	3	0	2	1	1	3	2
8	KF Feronikeli	3	0	0	3	1	7	0
9	KF Llapi	3	0	0	3	3	11	0
10	KF Vushtrria	4	0	0	4	2	10	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KF Drita	KF Drenica Skenderaj
Malisheva	2-3 L	1-1 D
KF Gjilani	0-2 L	2-1 W
KF Dukagjini	0-2 L	0-0 D
KF Ballkani	2-0 W	0-2 L
KF Prishtina e Re	1-0 W	3-2 W
FC Prishtina	1-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: KF Drenica Skenderaj (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KF Drita

LWWWWLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	KF Vushtrria Kosovo Superliga	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
16/08	KF Llapi Kosovo Superliga	2-2	5-3	–	–	W
31/05	Malisheva Kosovo Superliga	–	2-3	–	–	L
24/05	KF Gjilani Kosovo Superliga	0-1	0-2	6	6	L
17/05	KF Dukagjini Kosovo Superliga	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
09/05	KF Ballkani Kosovo Superliga	1-0	2-0	3	7	W
02/05	KF Prishtina e Re Kosovo Superliga	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
29/04	FC Prishtina Kosovo Superliga	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
26/04	KF Llapi Kosovo Superliga	1-0	3-0	2	0	W
19/04	KF Drenica Skenderaj Kosovo Superliga	–	0-1	–	–	L

KF Drenica Skenderaj

WLWWLWWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	KF Ballkani Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-2	3	6	L
21/08	Malisheva Kosovo Superliga	0-1	1-1	1	7	D
15/08	KF Dukagjini Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
31/05	FC Prishtina Kosovo Superliga	–	2-1	–	–	W
24/05	KF Ferizaj Kosovo Superliga	–	3-2	–	–	W
17/05	Malisheva Kosovo Superliga	–	1-4	–	–	L
09/05	KF Gjilani Kosovo Superliga	–	2-1	–	–	W
03/05	KF Dukagjini Kosovo Superliga	–	1-0	–	–	W
30/04	KF Ballkani Kosovo Superliga	–	1-2	–	–	L
25/04	KF Prishtina e Re Kosovo Superliga	0-1	3-2	6	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KF Drita vs KF Drenica Skenderaj?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KF Drita win (62%). Probabilities: KF Drita 62%, draw 24%, KF Drenica Skenderaj 14%.

How many goals are expected in KF Drita vs KF Drenica Skenderaj?

The model expects 2.57 goals (KF Drita 1.81 · KF Drenica Skenderaj 0.75), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in KF Drita vs KF Drenica Skenderaj?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.