Football · Kosovo Superliga · 13/09, 19:00

Prediction: KF Drita vs KF Gjilani

Team pages: KF Drita · KF Gjilani

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.44Total

KF Drita1.54

KF Gjilani0.9

1X2

51% 27% 21%

KF Drita Draw KF Gjilani

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

KF Drita 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLLLWWDL

KF Gjilani 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DLLWWWWDLW

Head-to-head

KF Drita 3–2–1 KF Gjilani (6 last)

KF Drita0-2KF Gjilani
KF Gjilani0-1KF Drita
KF Drita1-1KF Gjilani
KF Gjilani1-2KF Drita
KF Gjilani0-0KF Drita
KF Drita4-0KF Gjilani

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KF Drita 1538 · KF Gjilani 1518

	KF Drita	Draw	KF Gjilani
Our model	51%	28%	21%
Market	52%	26%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours KF Drita: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 11.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KF Drita	KF Gjilani
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.1	1.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/56/22%	57/43/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.8 / 5.1	1.7 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.1	7.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.40

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
19:49 +4’	1.73	3.40	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · KF Drita 3–2–1 KF Gjilani

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Kosovo Superliga	KF Drita	0-2 HT 0-1	KF Gjilani
22/03/26 Kosovo Superliga	KF Gjilani	0-1 HT 0-1	KF Drita
14/12/25 Kosovo Superliga	KF Drita	1-1 HT 0-0	KF Gjilani
06/10/25 Kosovo Superliga	KF Gjilani	1-2 HT 1-0	KF Drita
17/05/25 Kosovo Superliga	KF Gjilani	0-0 HT 0-0	KF Drita
27/03/25 Kosovo Superliga	KF Drita	4-0 HT 4-0	KF Gjilani

Standings · Kosovo Superliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Prishtina	4	4	0	0	13	3	12
2	KF Dukagjini	5	3	2	0	7	3	11
3	Malisheva	5	3	1	1	13	5	10
4	KF Gjilani	5	3	1	1	9	6	10
5	KF Ballkani	5	3	0	2	8	6	9
6	KF Drita	4	2	1	1	6	4	7
7	KF Llapi	5	1	0	4	8	13	3
8	KF Drenica Skenderaj	5	0	3	2	2	7	3
9	KF Feronikeli	5	1	0	4	2	9	3
10	KF Vushtrria	5	0	0	5	2	14	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KF Drita	KF Gjilani
KF Feronikeli	0-1 L	3-1 W
KF Drenica Skenderaj	0-0 D	1-2 L
KF Llapi	5-3 W	2-0 W
Malisheva	2-3 L	1-3 L
KF Dukagjini	0-2 L	2-2 D
KF Ballkani	2-0 W	1-0 W
KF Prishtina e Re	1-0 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: KF Drita (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KF Drita

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/09	KF Feronikeli Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-1	8	6	L
05/09	KF Drenica Skenderaj Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
30/08	KF Vushtrria Kosovo Superliga	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
16/08	KF Llapi Kosovo Superliga	2-2	5-3	–	–	W
31/05	Malisheva Kosovo Superliga	–	2-3	–	–	L
24/05	KF Gjilani Kosovo Superliga	0-1	0-2	6	6	L
17/05	KF Dukagjini Kosovo Superliga	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
09/05	KF Ballkani Kosovo Superliga	1-0	2-0	3	7	W
02/05	KF Prishtina e Re Kosovo Superliga	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
29/04	FC Prishtina Kosovo Superliga	0-0	1-0	2	3	W

KF Gjilani

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/09	KF Ballkani Kosovo Superliga	0-0	1-0	4	8	W
06/09	Malisheva Kosovo Superliga	1-1	1-3	2	6	L
29/08	KF Dukagjini Kosovo Superliga	2-1	2-2	3	8	D
23/08	KF Llapi Kosovo Superliga	2-0	2-0	1	4	W
14/08	KF Feronikeli Kosovo Superliga	1-0	3-1	3	6	W
31/05	KF Prishtina e Re Kosovo Superliga	–	3-2	–	–	W
24/05	KF Drita Kosovo Superliga	1-0	2-0	2	6	W
17/05	KF Llapi Kosovo Superliga	–	1-2	–	–	L
09/05	KF Drenica Skenderaj Kosovo Superliga	–	1-2	–	–	L
03/05	KF Ferizaj Kosovo Superliga	0-0	1-1	5	14	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KF Drita vs KF Gjilani?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KF Drita win (51%). Probabilities: KF Drita 51%, draw 27%, KF Gjilani 21%.

How many goals are expected in KF Drita vs KF Gjilani?

The model expects 2.44 goals (KF Drita 1.54 · KF Gjilani 0.9), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in KF Drita vs KF Gjilani?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.