Football · Kosovo Superliga · 14/09, 16:00

Prediction: KF Ballkani vs KF Dukagjini

Team pages: KF Ballkani · KF Dukagjini

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.25Total

KF Ballkani1.25

KF Dukagjini1

1X2

42% 29% 29%

KF Ballkani Draw KF Dukagjini

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

KF Ballkani 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLWWWL

KF Dukagjini 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

LDWWWDWDWW

Head-to-head

KF Ballkani 2–1–3 KF Dukagjini (6 last)

KF Dukagjini1-0KF Ballkani
KF Dukagjini3-2KF Ballkani
KF Ballkani0-3KF Dukagjini
KF Ballkani2-1KF Dukagjini
KF Dukagjini0-0KF Ballkani
KF Ballkani2-0KF Dukagjini

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KF Ballkani 1500 · KF Dukagjini 1535

	KF Ballkani	Draw	KF Dukagjini
Our model	41%	31%	28%
Market	42%	28%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours KF Dukagjini: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 12.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KF Ballkani	KF Dukagjini
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.4	1.3 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	1.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	17/50/33%	50/25/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.5 / 3	1 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6 / 0.2	6.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.20

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
17:57 +26’	2.10	3.20	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · KF Ballkani 2–1–3 KF Dukagjini

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Kosovo Superliga	KF Dukagjini	1-0	KF Ballkani
22/04/26 Kosovo Cup	KF Dukagjini	3-2 HT 1-1	KF Ballkani
08/04/26 Kosovo Cup	KF Ballkani	0-3 HT 0-2	KF Dukagjini
04/04/26 Kosovo Superliga	KF Ballkani	2-1	KF Dukagjini
21/12/25 Kosovo Superliga	KF Dukagjini	0-0 HT 0-0	KF Ballkani
19/10/25 Kosovo Superliga	KF Ballkani	2-0 HT 0-0	KF Dukagjini

Standings · Kosovo Superliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Prishtina	5	5	0	0	16	3	15
2	KF Dukagjini	5	3	2	0	7	3	11
3	KF Gjilani	6	3	2	1	9	6	11
4	Malisheva	5	3	1	1	13	5	10
5	KF Ballkani	5	3	0	2	8	6	9
6	KF Drita	5	2	2	1	6	4	8
7	KF Drenica Skenderaj	6	1	3	2	5	7	6
8	KF Llapi	5	1	0	4	8	13	3
9	KF Feronikeli	6	1	0	5	2	12	3
10	KF Vushtrria	6	0	0	6	2	17	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KF Ballkani	KF Dukagjini
KF Gjilani	0-1 L	2-2 D
KF Feronikeli	2-0 W	1-0 W
KF Drenica Skenderaj	2-0 W	0-0 D
KF Prishtina e Re	3-2 W	3-2 W
KF Drita	0-2 L	2-0 W
KF Llapi	0-1 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: KF Dukagjini (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KF Ballkani

LLWLLLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/09	KF Gjilani Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-1	1	8	L
06/09	KF Feronikeli Kosovo Superliga	2-0	2-0	1	3	W
28/08	KF Drenica Skenderaj Kosovo Superliga	0-0	2-0	4	6	W
22/08	KF Vushtrria Kosovo Superliga	0-0	2-1	6	5	W
16/08	FC Prishtina Kosovo Superliga	1-3	2-4	3	8	L
31/05	KF Dukagjini Kosovo Superliga	–	0-1	–	–	L
24/05	FC Prishtina Kosovo Superliga	–	1-2	–	–	L
17/05	KF Prishtina e Re Kosovo Superliga	–	3-2	–	–	W
09/05	KF Drita Kosovo Superliga	0-1	0-2	3	7	L
03/05	KF Llapi Kosovo Superliga	–	0-1	–	–	L

KF Dukagjini

LDWWWDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/09	Malisheva Kosovo Superliga	2-0	2-0	2	7	W
05/09	KF Llapi Kosovo Superliga	–	2-1	–	–	W
29/08	KF Gjilani Kosovo Superliga	1-2	2-2	4	8	D
22/08	KF Feronikeli Kosovo Superliga	–	1-0	–	–	W
15/08	KF Drenica Skenderaj Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
31/05	KF Ballkani Kosovo Superliga	–	1-0	–	–	W
24/05	KF Prishtina e Re Kosovo Superliga	–	3-2	–	–	W
17/05	KF Drita Kosovo Superliga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
10/05	KF Llapi Kosovo Superliga	–	0-0	–	–	D
03/05	KF Drenica Skenderaj Kosovo Superliga	–	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KF Ballkani vs KF Dukagjini?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KF Ballkani win (42%). Probabilities: KF Ballkani 42%, draw 29%, KF Dukagjini 29%.

How many goals are expected in KF Ballkani vs KF Dukagjini?

The model expects 2.25 goals (KF Ballkani 1.25 · KF Dukagjini 1), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in KF Ballkani vs KF Dukagjini?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.