Football · Kosovo Superliga · 06/09, 16:00

Prediction: Malisheva vs KF Gjilani

Team pages: Malisheva · KF Gjilani

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

Malisheva1.71

KF Gjilani1.35

1X2

45% 26% 29%

Malisheva Draw KF Gjilani

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Malisheva 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDWLWWDW

KF Gjilani 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLDLLWWWWD

Head-to-head

Malisheva 3–1–2 KF Gjilani (6 last)

Malisheva3-1KF Gjilani
KF Gjilani2-1Malisheva
Malisheva1-2KF Gjilani
KF Gjilani1-3Malisheva
KF Gjilani0-0Malisheva
Malisheva4-1KF Gjilani

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Malisheva 1573 · KF Gjilani 1538

	Malisheva	Draw	KF Gjilani
Our model	45%	26%	29%
Market	44%	27%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Malisheva: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 12.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Malisheva	KF Gjilani
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1	1.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/25/25%	67/33/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6	1.2 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.8	7.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.30

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.02

2 (+0.5)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 10:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.00▼	Bet365 2.00
X	3.20 → 3.30▲	Bet365 3.30
2	2.70 → 3.10▲	Pinn 3.45 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.6% Pinnacle margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:03 +11’	2.30	3.20	2.70
10:15 +3’	2.00▼	3.30▲	3.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:09 +9’	1.91	3.24	3.40
14:00 +47’	1.93▲	3.28▲	3.45▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Malisheva 3–1–2 KF Gjilani

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/04/26 Kosovo Superliga	Malisheva	3-1	KF Gjilani
28/02/26 Kosovo Superliga	KF Gjilani	2-1 HT 1-1	Malisheva
09/11/25 Kosovo Superliga	Malisheva	1-2 HT 0-2	KF Gjilani
14/09/25 Kosovo Superliga	KF Gjilani	1-3 HT 1-1	Malisheva
06/05/25 Kosovo Superliga	KF Gjilani	0-0	Malisheva
12/03/25 Kosovo Superliga	Malisheva	4-1 HT 1-0	KF Gjilani

Standings · Kosovo Superliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Prishtina	3	3	0	0	9	2	9
2	KF Dukagjini	4	2	2	0	5	3	8
3	Malisheva	3	2	1	0	10	2	7
4	KF Gjilani	3	2	1	0	7	3	7
5	KF Drita	3	2	1	0	6	3	7
6	KF Ballkani	3	2	0	1	6	5	6
7	KF Drenica Skenderaj	4	0	3	1	1	3	3
8	KF Feronikeli	3	0	0	3	1	7	0
9	KF Vushtrria	4	0	0	4	2	10	0
10	KF Llapi	4	0	0	4	4	13	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Malisheva	KF Gjilani
KF Feronikeli	3-0 W	3-1 W
KF Drenica Skenderaj	1-1 D	1-2 L
KF Drita	3-2 W	2-0 W
KF Llapi	2-3 L	2-0 W
KF Ferizaj	1-1 D	1-1 D
FC Prishtina	1-0 W	1-1 D
KF Dukagjini	1-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Malisheva (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Malisheva

WWWDWLWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	KF Feronikeli Kosovo Superliga	–	3-0	–	–	W
21/08	KF Drenica Skenderaj Kosovo Superliga	1-0	1-1	6	7	D
15/08	KF Vushtrria Kosovo Superliga	2-0	6-1	10	3	W
31/05	KF Drita Kosovo Superliga	–	3-2	–	–	W
24/05	KF Llapi Kosovo Superliga	–	2-3	–	–	L
17/05	KF Drenica Skenderaj Kosovo Superliga	–	4-1	–	–	W
10/05	KF Ferizaj Kosovo Superliga	0-1	1-1	2	5	D
02/05	FC Prishtina Kosovo Superliga	0-0	1-0	6	8	W
29/04	KF Gjilani Kosovo Superliga	–	3-1	–	–	W
26/04	KF Dukagjini Kosovo Superliga	–	1-0	–	–	W

KF Gjilani

DLDLLWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	KF Dukagjini Kosovo Superliga	2-1	2-2	3	8	D
23/08	KF Llapi Kosovo Superliga	2-0	2-0	1	4	W
14/08	KF Feronikeli Kosovo Superliga	1-0	3-1	3	6	W
31/05	KF Prishtina e Re Kosovo Superliga	–	3-2	–	–	W
24/05	KF Drita Kosovo Superliga	1-0	2-0	2	6	W
17/05	KF Llapi Kosovo Superliga	–	1-2	–	–	L
09/05	KF Drenica Skenderaj Kosovo Superliga	–	1-2	–	–	L
03/05	KF Ferizaj Kosovo Superliga	0-0	1-1	5	14	D
29/04	Malisheva Kosovo Superliga	–	1-3	–	–	L
25/04	FC Prishtina Kosovo Superliga	0-0	1-1	7	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Malisheva vs KF Gjilani?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Malisheva win (45%). Probabilities: Malisheva 45%, draw 26%, KF Gjilani 29%.

How many goals are expected in Malisheva vs KF Gjilani?

The model expects 3.06 goals (Malisheva 1.71 · KF Gjilani 1.35), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Malisheva vs KF Gjilani?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.