Football · Argentina Nacional B · 05/09, 22:00
Prediction: Ferro Carril Oeste vs Club Atletico Mitre
Team pages: Ferro Carril Oeste · Club Atletico Mitre
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.61Total
Ferro Carril Oeste1.74
Club Atletico Mitre0.86
1X2
Ferro Carril Oeste
Draw
Club Atletico Mitre
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Ferro Carril Oeste
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Club Atletico Mitre
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ferro Carril Oeste
4–2–0
Club Atletico Mitre
(6 last)
- Club Atletico Mitre0-1Ferro Carril Oeste
- Ferro Carril Oeste3-0Club Atletico Mitre
- Club Atletico Mitre0-2Ferro Carril Oeste
- Club Atletico Mitre1-1Ferro Carril Oeste
- Club Atletico Mitre0-1Ferro Carril Oeste
- Ferro Carril Oeste0-0Club Atletico Mitre
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ferro Carril Oeste 1563 · Club Atletico Mitre 1475
| Ferro Carril Oeste | Draw | Club Atletico Mitre | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 26% | 17% |
| Market | 56% | 28% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ferro Carril Oeste (rating 1563 vs 1475).
- H2H favours Ferro Carril Oeste: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ferro Carril Oeste | Club Atletico Mitre | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/33/22% | 11/56/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 4.3 | 2.8 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.4 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ferro Carril Oeste 4–2–0 Club Atletico Mitre
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Argentina Nacional B | Club Atletico Mitre | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Ferro Carril Oeste |
| 05/09/23 Argentina Nacional B | Ferro Carril Oeste | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Club Atletico Mitre |
| 23/04/23 Argentina Nacional B | Club Atletico Mitre | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Ferro Carril Oeste |
| 19/03/22 Argentina Nacional B | Club Atletico Mitre | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Ferro Carril Oeste |
| 01/03/20 Argentina Nacional B | Club Atletico Mitre | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Ferro Carril Oeste |
| 08/09/19 Argentina Nacional B | Ferro Carril Oeste | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Club Atletico Mitre |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 23 | 52 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 46 |
| 3 | Colon | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 45 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 38 | 24 | 43 |
| 5 | Almirante Brown | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 22 | 16 | 41 |
| 6 | Godoy Cruz | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 24 | 40 |
| 7 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 23 | 23 | 38 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 22 | 35 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 15 | 33 |
| 10 | Racing de Cordoba | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 29 | 32 |
| 11 | Club Atletico Mitre | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 25 | 33 | 29 |
| 12 | CA San Miguel | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 28 | 29 |
| 13 | CA Chaco For Ever | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | 29 | 28 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 28 |
| 15 | CA San Telmo | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 30 | 27 |
| 16 | All Boys | 26 | 5 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 24 | 27 |
| 17 | Defensores de Belgrano | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 24 | 26 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | 32 | 22 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ferro Carril Oeste | Club Atletico Mitre |
|---|---|---|
| All Boys | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Los Andes | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Ferro Carril Oeste (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ferro Carril Oeste
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 09/08 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 18/07 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 11/07 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 05/07 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/06 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 14/06 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
Club Atletico Mitre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 26/07 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 17/07 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 05/07 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 21/06 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 9 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ferro Carril Oeste vs Club Atletico Mitre?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ferro Carril Oeste win (56%). Probabilities: Ferro Carril Oeste 56%, draw 27%, Club Atletico Mitre 17%.
How many goals are expected in Ferro Carril Oeste vs Club Atletico Mitre?
The model expects 2.61 goals (Ferro Carril Oeste 1.74 · Club Atletico Mitre 0.86), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Ferro Carril Oeste vs Club Atletico Mitre?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.