Football · Argentina Nacional B · 05/09, 22:00

Prediction: Defensores de Belgrano vs Racing de Cordoba

Team pages: Defensores de Belgrano · Racing de Cordoba

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.81Total

Defensores de Belgrano1.02

Racing de Cordoba0.79

1X2

40% 34% 27%

Defensores de Belgrano Draw Racing de Cordoba

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 55% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

0-0 18%

Recent form · 10 last

Defensores de Belgrano 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLDDLDLL

Racing de Cordoba 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDWLWLWDDW

Head-to-head

Defensores de Belgrano 0–1 Racing de Cordoba (1 last)

Racing de Cordoba3-0Defensores de Belgrano

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Defensores de Belgrano 1426 · Racing de Cordoba 1519

	Defensores de Belgrano	Draw	Racing de Cordoba
Our model	39%	35%	26%
Market	40%	33%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 1.81 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Racing de Cordoba (rating 1426 vs 1519).
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Defensores de Belgrano	Racing de Cordoba
Goals for / against (FT)	0.4 / 1.2	0.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/70/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.6	2.7 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.1	3.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.30

X2.80

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.88

Under 1.751.93

Diff.: 0 · xG: 1.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
02:29 +3’	2.30	2.80	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Defensores de Belgrano 0–0–1 Racing de Cordoba

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
20/04/26 Argentina Nacional B	Racing de Cordoba	3-0 HT 0-0	Defensores de Belgrano

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	26	16	4	6	32	23	52
2	Deportivo Moron	26	13	7	6	41	24	46
3	Colon	26	12	9	5	34	20	45
4	Deportivo Madryn	26	11	10	5	38	24	43
5	Almirante Brown	26	11	8	7	22	16	41
6	Godoy Cruz	26	11	7	8	29	24	40
7	Club Ciudad de Bolivar	27	9	11	7	23	23	38
8	CA Estudiantes Caseros	26	9	8	9	23	22	35
9	Los Andes	25	8	9	8	20	15	33
10	Racing de Cordoba	26	8	8	10	24	29	32
11	Club Atletico Mitre	26	6	11	9	25	33	29
12	CA San Miguel	26	6	11	9	20	28	29
13	CA Chaco For Ever	26	7	7	12	25	29	28
14	Central Norte	26	6	10	10	17	25	28
15	CA San Telmo	26	6	9	11	22	30	27
16	All Boys	26	5	12	9	15	24	27
17	Defensores de Belgrano	26	5	11	10	16	24	26
18	Acassuso	26	5	7	14	19	32	22

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Defensores de Belgrano	Racing de Cordoba
Club Ciudad de Bolivar	0-1 L	1-1 D
Almirante Brown	0-2 L	0-2 L
Club Atletico Mitre	1-2 L	0-1 L
CA Estudiantes Caseros	1-1 D	1-1 D
Colon	0-3 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Racing de Cordoba (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Defensores de Belgrano

LLWLDDLDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	2	7	L
22/08	Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	8	2	L
15/08	Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
09/08	Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B	1-1	1-2	8	7	L
01/08	CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-1	7	6	D
26/07	All Boys Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
12/07	Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
04/07	Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B	0-1	2-1	5	4	W
21/06	All Boys Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	5	8	L
13/06	Colon Argentina Nacional B	0-2	0-3	6	4	L

Racing de Cordoba

LDWLWLWDDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Colon Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
23/08	Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
16/08	San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
09/08	CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
02/08	Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
26/07	CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
17/07	Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
12/07	Acassuso Argentina Nacional B	1-0	3-2	5	4	W
05/07	CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
20/06	CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B	0-2	0-2	4	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Defensores de Belgrano vs Racing de Cordoba?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Defensores de Belgrano win (40%). Probabilities: Defensores de Belgrano 40%, draw 34%, Racing de Cordoba 27%.

How many goals are expected in Defensores de Belgrano vs Racing de Cordoba?

The model expects 1.81 goals (Defensores de Belgrano 1.02 · Racing de Cordoba 0.79), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Defensores de Belgrano vs Racing de Cordoba?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.