Football · Zambia Super League · 05/11, 14:00

Prediction: NAPSA Stars vs Power Dynamos

Team pages: NAPSA Stars · Power Dynamos

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.66Total

NAPSA Stars0.57

Power Dynamos1.09

1X2

19% 33% 48%

NAPSA Stars Draw Power Dynamos

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 51% Not both to score 56%

Most likely score

0-0 20%

Recent form · 10 last

NAPSA Stars 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

DLWDWDDDLD

Power Dynamos 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDDWWLWWLD

Head-to-head

NAPSA Stars 0–2–4 Power Dynamos (6 last)

NAPSA Stars1-3Power Dynamos
Power Dynamos2-0NAPSA Stars
NAPSA Stars0-2Power Dynamos
Power Dynamos3-1NAPSA Stars
NAPSA Stars1-1Power Dynamos
Power Dynamos1-1NAPSA Stars

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NAPSA Stars 1491 · Power Dynamos 1512

	NAPSA Stars	Draw	Power Dynamos
Our model	18%	35%	47%
Market	20%	31%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 1.66 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Power Dynamos: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NAPSA Stars	Power Dynamos
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.7	1.1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	17/83/0%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 5.6	2.7 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.6	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.50

X2.90

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.82

Under 1.751.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:47 +19’	4.50	2.90	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NAPSA Stars 0–2–4 Power Dynamos

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 Zambia Super League	NAPSA Stars	1-3 HT 1-2	Power Dynamos
13/09/25 Zambia Super League	Power Dynamos	2-0 HT 0-0	NAPSA Stars
03/04/25 Zambia Super League	NAPSA Stars	0-2 HT 0-1	Power Dynamos
27/11/24 Zambia Super League	Power Dynamos	3-1	NAPSA Stars
01/06/24 Zambia Super League	NAPSA Stars	1-1	Power Dynamos
23/12/23 Zambia Super League	Power Dynamos	1-1	NAPSA Stars

Standings · Zambia Super League · Super League 26/27, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Konkola Blades	5	4	0	1	9	5	12
2	Maestro United Zambia	5	3	2	0	7	2	11
3	Zanaco FC	5	3	1	1	10	6	10
4	Nkana FC	5	3	1	1	7	3	10
5	Power Dynamos	5	2	1	2	4	4	7
6	Kansanshi Dynamos	5	1	2	2	5	10	5
7	Trident FC	5	1	1	3	9	7	4
8	NAPSA Stars	5	0	4	1	4	5	4
9	Nchanga Rangers	5	1	1	3	1	4	4
10	Makeni All Stars	5	0	1	4	2	12	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NAPSA Stars	Power Dynamos
Kansanshi Dynamos	2-2 D	0-0 D
Nchanga Rangers	0-1 L	1-0 W
Trident FC	0-0 D	2-1 W
Maestro United Zambia	1-1 D	0-1 L
Mutondo Stars	1-0 W	2-2 D
Konkola Blades	0-0 D	1-2 L
Nkana FC	1-1 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 5 D 1 L	2 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: NAPSA Stars (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NAPSA Stars

DLWDWDDDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Kansanshi Dynamos Zambia Super League	–	2-2	–	–	D
24/10	Nchanga Rangers Zambia Super League	–	0-1	–	–	L
17/10	Zanaco FC Zambia Super League	0-0	1-1	3	8	D
10/10	Trident FC Zambia Super League	–	0-0	–	–	D
03/10	Maestro United Zambia Zambia Super League	1-1	1-1	6	4	D
24/05	Mutondo Stars Zambia Super League	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
17/05	Konkola Blades Zambia Super League	–	0-0	–	–	D
12/05	Zanaco FC Zambia Super League	1-0	2-0	7	5	W
03/05	Kabwe Warriors Zambia Super League	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
30/04	Nkana FC Zambia Super League	1-1	1-1	–	–	D

Power Dynamos

WDDWWLWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Nkana FC Zambia Super League	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
24/10	Maestro United Zambia Zambia Super League	–	0-1	–	–	L
18/10	Trident FC Zambia Super League	1-1	2-1	5	3	W
11/10	Nchanga Rangers Zambia Super League	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
03/10	Konkola Blades Zambia Super League	–	1-2	–	–	L
23/05	Mufulira Wanderers Zambia Super League	–	2-0	–	–	W
17/05	Green Eagles Zambia Super League	1-0	1-0	5	2	W
13/05	Mutondo Stars Zambia Super League	–	2-2	–	–	D
06/05	Kansanshi Dynamos Zambia Super League	–	0-0	–	–	D
02/05	Konkola Blades Zambia Super League	–	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NAPSA Stars vs Power Dynamos?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Power Dynamos win (48%). Probabilities: NAPSA Stars 19%, draw 33%, Power Dynamos 48%.

How many goals are expected in NAPSA Stars vs Power Dynamos?

The model expects 1.66 goals (NAPSA Stars 0.57 · Power Dynamos 1.09), with a 53% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in NAPSA Stars vs Power Dynamos?

The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.