Football · Zambia Super League · 05/11, 14:00

Prediction: Green Buffaloes vs ZESCO United

Team pages: Green Buffaloes · ZESCO United

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.62Total
Green Buffaloes0.71
ZESCO United0.91
1X2
27% 35% 38%
Green Buffaloes Draw ZESCO United
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 51% Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
0-0 21%
Recent form · 10 last
Green Buffaloes 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WLWLLWDDWW
ZESCO United 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
LWWWDLDWWD
Head-to-head
Green Buffaloes 1–1–4 ZESCO United (6 last)
  • ZESCO United1-0Green Buffaloes
  • Green Buffaloes2-1ZESCO United
  • ZESCO United1-0Green Buffaloes
  • Green Buffaloes1-1ZESCO United
  • Green Buffaloes0-1ZESCO United
  • ZESCO United1-0Green Buffaloes
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Green Buffaloes 1518 · ZESCO United 1554
Green BuffaloesDrawZESCO United
Our model26%37%37%
Market28%33%39%
Estimated total (ours) 1.62 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours ZESCO United: 4-1-1.
  • High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Green BuffaloesZESCO United
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 0.51.9 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 01.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)25/75/0%67/33/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 3.82.3 / 7.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 03.7 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Green Buffaloes 1–1–4 ZESCO United

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/04/26
Zambia Super League
ZESCO United1-0
HT 1-0
Green Buffaloes
02/11/25
Zambia Super League
Green Buffaloes2-1
HT 0-1
ZESCO United
13/03/25
Zambia Super League
ZESCO United1-0
HT 0-0
Green Buffaloes
10/11/24
Zambia Super League
Green Buffaloes1-1
HT 0-1
ZESCO United
09/03/24
Zambia Super League
Green Buffaloes0-1
HT 0-1
ZESCO United
07/10/23
Zambia Super League
ZESCO United1-0Green Buffaloes

Standings · Zambia Super League · Super League 26/27, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Green Eagles 5320 6111
2 Green Buffaloes 5320 5111
3 ZESCO United 6231 1029
4 Chirundu United 5221 428
5 Red Arrows FC 3120 315
6 Kabwe Warriors 4121 555
7 Roan United 5122 375
8 Nkwazi 5041 124
9 Mufulira Wanderers 5023 162
10 Mutondo Stars 5014 4151

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGreen BuffaloesZESCO United
Mufulira Wanderers 1-0 W 0-0 D
Kabwe Warriors 2-1 W 1-1 D
Nkwazi 0-0 D 0-0 D
Roan United 0-0 D 4-0 W
Green Eagles 1-0 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 0 L 1 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Green Buffaloes (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Green Buffaloes

WLWLLWDDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Mufulira Wanderers
Zambia Super League
0-0 1-0 65 W
25/10 Kabwe Warriors
Zambia Super League
0-0 2-1 47 W
18/10 Nkwazi
Zambia Super League
0-0 0-0 32 D
10/10 Roan United
Zambia Super League
0-0 0-0 41 D
04/10 Chirundu United
Zambia Super League
1-0 2-0 35 W
22/05 Red Arrows FC
Zambia Super League
0-0 0-2 52 L
17/05 FC Leopards
Zambia Super League
0-0 0-1 34 L
13/05 Mufulira Wanderers
Zambia Super League
1-0 1-0 28 W
02/05 Kansanshi Dynamos
Zambia Super League
– 0-1 –– L
29/04 Green Eagles
Zambia Super League
– 1-0 –– W

ZESCO United

LWWWDLDWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Nkwazi
Zambia Super League
0-0 0-0 43 D
28/10 Roan United
Zambia Super League
2-0 4-0 60 W
24/10 Mutondo Stars
Zambia Super League
3-0 5-0 33 W
18/10 Mufulira Wanderers
Zambia Super League
0-0 0-0 145 D
10/10 Green Eagles
Zambia Super League
– 0-1 106 L
03/10 Kabwe Warriors
Zambia Super League
– 1-1 –– D
24/05 Zanaco FC
Zambia Super League
3-1 6-1 95 W
20/05 Mines United FC
Zambia Super League
2-0 2-1 65 W
16/05 Kabwe Warriors
Zambia Super League
– 1-0 –– W
13/05 Nkana FC
Zambia Super League
– 0-1 –– L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Green Buffaloes vs ZESCO United?

According to our model, the most likely result is an ZESCO United win (38%). Probabilities: Green Buffaloes 27%, draw 35%, ZESCO United 38%.

How many goals are expected in Green Buffaloes vs ZESCO United?

The model expects 1.62 goals (Green Buffaloes 0.71 · ZESCO United 0.91), with a 55% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Green Buffaloes vs ZESCO United?

The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.