Prediction: Red Arrows FC vs Nkwazi
Team pages: Red Arrows FC · Nkwazi
- Red Arrows FC0-0Nkwazi
- Nkwazi0-0Red Arrows FC
- Nkwazi0-0Red Arrows FC
- Red Arrows FC1-0Nkwazi
- Nkwazi0-1Red Arrows FC
- Red Arrows FC4-0Nkwazi
| Red Arrows FC | Draw | Nkwazi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 36% | 11% |
| Market | 57% | 28% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Red Arrows FC (rating 1547 vs 1488).
- H2H favours Red Arrows FC: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Red Arrows FC | Nkwazi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 29/57/14% | 0/100/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.6 | 1.5 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.4 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Red Arrows FC 3–3–0 Nkwazi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/26 Zambia Super League | Red Arrows FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Nkwazi |
| 25/10/25 Zambia Super League | Nkwazi | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Red Arrows FC |
| 01/03/25 Zambia Super League | Nkwazi | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Red Arrows FC |
| 26/10/24 Zambia Super League | Red Arrows FC | 1-0 | Nkwazi |
| 16/03/24 Zambia Super League | Nkwazi | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Red Arrows FC |
| 21/10/23 Zambia Super League | Red Arrows FC | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Nkwazi |
Standings · Zambia Super League · Super League 26/27, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Green Eagles | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 11 |
| 2 | Green Buffaloes | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
| 3 | ZESCO United | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Chirundu United | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Red Arrows FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Kabwe Warriors | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 7 | Roan United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 8 | Nkwazi | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Mufulira Wanderers | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 2 |
| 10 | Mutondo Stars | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Red Arrows FC | Nkwazi |
|---|---|---|
| Chirundu United | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Green Buffaloes | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Green Eagles | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Red Arrows FC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Red Arrows FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Chirundu United Zambia Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 10/10 | Mufulira Wanderers Zambia Super League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 04/10 | Mutondo Stars Zambia Super League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Green Buffaloes Zambia Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Mufulira Wanderers Zambia Super League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 14/05 | Green Eagles Zambia Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 06/05 | Zanaco FC Zambia Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Mutondo Stars Zambia Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 29/04 | Konkola Blades Zambia Super League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/04 | Kabwe Warriors Zambia Super League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
Nkwazi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | ZESCO United Zambia Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 24/10 | Green Eagles Zambia Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 18/10 | Green Buffaloes Zambia Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 10/10 | Chirundu United Zambia Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 03/10 | Roan United Zambia Super League |
– | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | FC Leopards Zambia Super League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 20/05 | Maestro United Zambia Zambia Super League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Kansanshi Dynamos Zambia Super League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | ZESCO United Zambia Super League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 29/04 | Nchanga Rangers Zambia Super League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Red Arrows FC vs Nkwazi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Red Arrows FC win (55%). Probabilities: Red Arrows FC 55%, draw 32%, Nkwazi 13%.
How many goals are expected in Red Arrows FC vs Nkwazi?
The model expects 1.41 goals (Red Arrows FC 1.07 · Nkwazi 0.34), with a 56% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Red Arrows FC vs Nkwazi?
The model gives a 60% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.