Football · Zambia Super League · 05/11, 14:00

Prediction: Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers

Team pages: Mutondo Stars · Mufulira Wanderers

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.89Total
Mutondo Stars0.93
Mufulira Wanderers0.95
1X2
33% 33% 34%
Mutondo Stars Draw Mufulira Wanderers
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Mutondo Stars 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LWDWLLLLLD
Mufulira Wanderers 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
WLLDLLDDLL
Head-to-head
Mutondo Stars 2–2–2 Mufulira Wanderers (6 last)
  • Mufulira Wanderers1-0Mutondo Stars
  • Mutondo Stars0-0Mufulira Wanderers
  • Mutondo Stars0-1Mufulira Wanderers
  • Mufulira Wanderers0-2Mutondo Stars
  • Mufulira Wanderers0-0Mutondo Stars
  • Mutondo Stars2-1Mufulira Wanderers
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mutondo Stars 1449 · Mufulira Wanderers 1441
Mutondo StarsDrawMufulira Wanderers
Our model32%35%33%
Market33%33%34%
Estimated total (ours) 1.89 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Mutondo StarsMufulira Wanderers
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 20.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 10 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)29/14/57%0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 41.3 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.14.8 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Mutondo Stars 2–2–2 Mufulira Wanderers

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/04/26
Zambia Super League
Mufulira Wanderers1-0Mutondo Stars
30/11/25
Zambia Super League
Mutondo Stars0-0
HT 0-0
Mufulira Wanderers
02/02/25
Zambia Super League
Mutondo Stars0-1
HT 0-0
Mufulira Wanderers
21/09/24
Zambia Super League
Mufulira Wanderers0-2
HT 0-1
Mutondo Stars
03/03/24
Zambia Super League
Mufulira Wanderers0-0
HT 0-0
Mutondo Stars
30/09/23
Zambia Super League
Mutondo Stars2-1
HT 1-0
Mufulira Wanderers

Standings · Zambia Super League · Super League 26/27, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Green Eagles 5320 6111
2 Green Buffaloes 5320 5111
3 ZESCO United 6231 1029
4 Chirundu United 5221 428
5 Red Arrows FC 3120 315
6 Kabwe Warriors 4121 555
7 Roan United 5122 375
8 Nkwazi 5041 124
9 Mufulira Wanderers 5023 162
10 Mutondo Stars 5014 4151

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMutondo StarsMufulira Wanderers
ZESCO United 0-5 L 0-0 D
Chirundu United 0-3 L 0-1 L
Red Arrows FC 1-3 L 0-0 D
Power Dynamos 2-2 D 0-2 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 3 L 0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Mufulira Wanderers (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mutondo Stars

LWDWLLLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Roan United
Zambia Super League
0-1 1-1 64 D
24/10 ZESCO United
Zambia Super League
0-3 0-5 43 L
18/10 Chirundu United
Zambia Super League
0-1 0-3 24 L
10/10 Kabwe Warriors
Zambia Super League
1-0 2-3 34 L
04/10 Red Arrows FC
Zambia Super League
1-2 1-3 43 L
24/05 NAPSA Stars
Zambia Super League
0-0 0-1 52 L
17/05 Mines United FC
Zambia Super League
– 3-1 –– W
13/05 Power Dynamos
Zambia Super League
– 2-2 –– D
02/05 Red Arrows FC
Zambia Super League
1-0 1-0 47 W
29/04 Mufulira Wanderers
Zambia Super League
– 0-1 –– L

Mufulira Wanderers

WLLDLLDDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Green Buffaloes
Zambia Super League
0-0 0-1 25 L
25/10 Chirundu United
Zambia Super League
0-1 0-1 52 L
18/10 ZESCO United
Zambia Super League
0-0 0-0 25 D
10/10 Red Arrows FC
Zambia Super League
– 0-0 –– D
03/10 Green Eagles
Zambia Super League
0-2 1-4 25 L
23/05 Power Dynamos
Zambia Super League
– 0-2 –– L
17/05 Red Arrows FC
Zambia Super League
– 0-0 –– D
13/05 Green Buffaloes
Zambia Super League
0-1 0-1 78 L
03/05 Green Eagles
Zambia Super League
– 0-2 –– L
29/04 Mutondo Stars
Zambia Super League
– 1-0 –– W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Mufulira Wanderers win (34%). Probabilities: Mutondo Stars 33%, draw 33%, Mufulira Wanderers 34%.

How many goals are expected in Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers?

The model expects 1.89 goals (Mutondo Stars 0.93 · Mufulira Wanderers 0.95), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.