Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · 24/10, 14:00
Prediction: Slavija Sarajevo vs Leotar
Team pages: Slavija Sarajevo · Leotar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.08Total
Slavija Sarajevo0.86
Leotar1.22
1X2
Slavija Sarajevo
Draw
Leotar
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Slavija Sarajevo
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Leotar
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Slavija Sarajevo
0–4–2
Leotar
(6 last)
- Slavija Sarajevo0-0Leotar
- Slavija Sarajevo0-0Leotar
- Leotar1-1Slavija Sarajevo
- Leotar2-0Slavija Sarajevo
- Slavija Sarajevo1-1Leotar
- Leotar1-0Slavija Sarajevo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Slavija Sarajevo 1499 · Leotar 1611
| Slavija Sarajevo | Draw | Leotar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 32% | 43% |
| Market | 28% | 26% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leotar (rating 1499 vs 1611).
- H2H favours Leotar: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Slavija Sarajevo | Leotar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.2 | 2.6 / 0.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 1 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 29/43/29% | 67/33/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.4 | 3 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 4.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Slavija Sarajevo 0–4–2 Leotar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Slavija Sarajevo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Leotar |
| 09/11/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Slavija Sarajevo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Leotar |
| 23/08/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Leotar | 1-1 | Slavija Sarajevo |
| 15/03/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Leotar | 2-0 | Slavija Sarajevo |
| 24/08/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Slavija Sarajevo | 1-1 | Leotar |
| 27/04/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Leotar | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Slavija Sarajevo |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leotar | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 31 | 5 | 32 |
| 2 | FK Laktasi | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 28 |
| 3 | FK Potkozarje | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 20 |
| 4 | FK Majevica Lopare | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 19 |
| 5 | FK Drina Zvornik | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 11 | 18 |
| 6 | FK Kozara Gradiska | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 16 |
| 7 | FK Famos Vojkovici | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 20 | 16 |
| 8 | FK Rudar Prijedor | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 15 |
| 9 | Romanija Pale | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 15 |
| 10 | Slavija Sarajevo | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 14 |
| 11 | Sutjeska Foca | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 11 |
| 12 | FC Velez Nevesinje | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 11 |
| 13 | FK Omarska | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 9 |
| 14 | Zvijezda 09 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 23 | 8 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Slavija Sarajevo | Leotar |
|---|---|---|
| Romanija Pale | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| FK Majevica Lopare | 1-1 D | 6-0 W |
| FK Potkozarje | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| FK Famos Vojkovici | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Zvijezda 09 | 2-1 W | 4-1 W |
| FK Kozara Gradiska | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| FK Omarska | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Sutjeska Foca | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 2 L | 7 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Leotar (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Slavija Sarajevo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Romanija Pale Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 17/10 | FK Majevica Lopare Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 09/10 | FK Potkozarje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | FK Famos Vojkovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 26/09 | Zvijezda 09 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 23/09 | FK Kozara Gradiska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 20/09 | FK Omarska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | FK Rudar Prijedor Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 05/09 | FK Drina Zvornik Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/09 | Sutjeska Foca Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Leotar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | FC Velez Nevesinje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 17/10 | FK Laktasi Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/10 | Romanija Pale Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/10 | FK Majevica Lopare Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/09 | FK Potkozarje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 22/09 | FK Famos Vojkovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | Zvijezda 09 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 16/09 | Sutjeska Foca Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | FK Kozara Gradiska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | FK Omarska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Slavija Sarajevo vs Leotar?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Leotar win (45%). Probabilities: Slavija Sarajevo 26%, draw 29%, Leotar 45%.
How many goals are expected in Slavija Sarajevo vs Leotar?
The model expects 2.08 goals (Slavija Sarajevo 0.86 · Leotar 1.22), with a 58% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Slavija Sarajevo vs Leotar?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.