Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · 10/10, 15:00
Prediction: Sloboda Tuzla vs NK Travnik
Team pages: Sloboda Tuzla · NK Travnik
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.37Total
Sloboda Tuzla1.49
NK Travnik0.89
1X2
Sloboda Tuzla
Draw
NK Travnik
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Sloboda Tuzla
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
NK Travnik
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sloboda Tuzla
5–1–0
NK Travnik
(6 last)
- NK Travnik0-1Sloboda Tuzla
- Sloboda Tuzla2-0NK Travnik
- NK Travnik2-3Sloboda Tuzla
- Sloboda Tuzla2-0NK Travnik
- Sloboda Tuzla4-0NK Travnik
- NK Travnik0-0Sloboda Tuzla
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sloboda Tuzla 1574 · NK Travnik 1586
| Sloboda Tuzla | Draw | NK Travnik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 29% | 21% |
| Market | 51% | 26% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sloboda Tuzla: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sloboda Tuzla | NK Travnik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.9 | 2.1 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 67/33/0% | 14/71/14% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 4.6 | 2.8 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0 | 6.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sloboda Tuzla 5–1–0 NK Travnik
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | NK Travnik | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Sloboda Tuzla |
| 20/09/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Sloboda Tuzla | 2-0 HT 1-0 | NK Travnik |
| 04/05/16 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | NK Travnik | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Sloboda Tuzla |
| 24/10/15 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Sloboda Tuzla | 2-0 HT 2-0 | NK Travnik |
| 28/02/15 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Sloboda Tuzla | 4-0 HT 2-0 | NK Travnik |
| 17/09/14 Bosnia & Herzegovina Cup | NK Travnik | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sloboda Tuzla |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Laktasi | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 22 |
| 2 | Leotar | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
| 3 | FK Majevica Lopare | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | FK Kozara Gradiska | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | FK Potkozarje | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | FK Drina Zvornik | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | FK Famos Vojkovici | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 9 |
| 8 | Slavija Sarajevo | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 9 |
| 9 | Romanija Pale | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 9 |
| 10 | FK Rudar Prijedor | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 8 |
| 11 | FC Velez Nevesinje | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 8 |
| 12 | Sutjeska Foca | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 7 |
| 13 | FK Omarska | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 |
| 14 | Zvijezda 09 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sloboda Tuzla | NK Travnik |
|---|---|---|
| GOSK Gabela | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| FK Radnik Hadzici | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| NK Zvijezda Gradacac | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| NK Tosk Tesanj | 4-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Buducnost Banovici | 2-3 L | 3-0 W |
| HNK Tomislav | 3-0 W | 4-2 W |
| NK Vitez | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 6 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Sloboda Tuzla (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sloboda Tuzla
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | HSK Posusje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | GOSK Gabela Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | FK Radnik Hadzici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | NK Zvijezda Gradacac Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 05/09 | NK Tosk Tesanj Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Buducnost Banovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | HNK Tomislav Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | NK Vitez Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | NK Tosk Tesanj Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | NK Vitez Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
NK Travnik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | GOSK Gabela Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 26/09 | FK Radnik Hadzici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | NK Zvijezda Gradacac Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | NK Tosk Tesanj Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 05/09 | Buducnost Banovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | HNK Tomislav Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 23/08 | NK Vitez Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/08 | Rudar Kakanj Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 07/06 | FK Radnik Hadzici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 30/05 | FK Tuzla City Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sloboda Tuzla vs NK Travnik?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sloboda Tuzla win (51%). Probabilities: Sloboda Tuzla 51%, draw 27%, NK Travnik 22%.
How many goals are expected in Sloboda Tuzla vs NK Travnik?
The model expects 2.37 goals (Sloboda Tuzla 1.49 · NK Travnik 0.89), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sloboda Tuzla vs NK Travnik?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.