Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · 10/10, 15:00
Prediction: Zvijezda 09 vs FK Drina Zvornik
Team pages: Zvijezda 09 · FK Drina Zvornik
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
Zvijezda 091.17
FK Drina Zvornik1.74
1X2
Zvijezda 09
Draw
FK Drina Zvornik
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Zvijezda 09
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
FK Drina Zvornik
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Zvijezda 09
3–1–2
FK Drina Zvornik
(6 last)
- FK Drina Zvornik2-0Zvijezda 09
- Zvijezda 092-1FK Drina Zvornik
- Zvijezda 090-0FK Drina Zvornik
- FK Drina Zvornik1-0Zvijezda 09
- Zvijezda 091-0FK Drina Zvornik
- FK Drina Zvornik1-2Zvijezda 09
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zvijezda 09 1414 · FK Drina Zvornik 1547
| Zvijezda 09 | Draw | FK Drina Zvornik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 26% | 50% |
| Market | 25% | 25% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Drina Zvornik (rating 1414 vs 1547).
- H2H favours Zvijezda 09: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Zvijezda 09 | FK Drina Zvornik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.1 | 2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 17/50/33% | 38/38/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.7 | 2.4 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zvijezda 09 3–1–2 FK Drina Zvornik
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | FK Drina Zvornik | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Zvijezda 09 |
| 13/09/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Zvijezda 09 | 2-1 HT 0-0 | FK Drina Zvornik |
| 17/05/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Zvijezda 09 | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Drina Zvornik |
| 09/11/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | FK Drina Zvornik | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Zvijezda 09 |
| 13/07/24 Europe Friendlies | Zvijezda 09 | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FK Drina Zvornik |
| 26/04/23 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | FK Drina Zvornik | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Zvijezda 09 |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Laktasi | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 22 |
| 2 | Leotar | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
| 3 | FK Majevica Lopare | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | FK Kozara Gradiska | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | FK Potkozarje | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | FK Drina Zvornik | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | FK Famos Vojkovici | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 9 |
| 8 | Slavija Sarajevo | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 9 |
| 9 | Romanija Pale | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 9 |
| 10 | FK Rudar Prijedor | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 8 |
| 11 | FC Velez Nevesinje | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 8 |
| 12 | Sutjeska Foca | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 7 |
| 13 | FK Omarska | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 |
| 14 | Zvijezda 09 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Zvijezda 09 | FK Drina Zvornik |
|---|---|---|
| Sutjeska Foca | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Slavija Sarajevo | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| FC Velez Nevesinje | 1-2 L | 8-0 W |
| Leotar | 1-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Romanija Pale | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| FK Laktasi | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 5 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Drina Zvornik (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zvijezda 09
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Sutjeska Foca Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 26/09 | Slavija Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 23/09 | FC Velez Nevesinje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/09 | Leotar Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 11/09 | Romanija Pale Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | FK Majevica Lopare Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 02/09 | FK Potkozarje Aleksandrovac Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | FK Famos Vojkovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/08 | FK Laktasi Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 03/06 | FK Vlasenica Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
FK Drina Zvornik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | FK Kozara Gradiska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 27/09 | FK Omarska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 23/09 | FK Rudar Prijedor Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | FK Laktasi Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Sutjeska Foca Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 05/09 | Slavija Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 02/09 | FC Velez Nevesinje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
4-0 | 8-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 29/08 | Leotar Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 22/08 | Romanija Pale Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 13 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Leotar Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zvijezda 09 vs FK Drina Zvornik?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Drina Zvornik win (50%). Probabilities: Zvijezda 09 25%, draw 25%, FK Drina Zvornik 50%.
How many goals are expected in Zvijezda 09 vs FK Drina Zvornik?
The model expects 2.91 goals (Zvijezda 09 1.17 · FK Drina Zvornik 1.74), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Zvijezda 09 vs FK Drina Zvornik?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.