Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · 21/10, 14:30
Prediction: Leotar vs FC Velez Nevesinje
Team pages: Leotar · FC Velez Nevesinje
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.79Total
Leotar2.89
FC Velez Nevesinje0.89
1X2
Leotar
Draw
FC Velez Nevesinje
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Leotar
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
FC Velez Nevesinje
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Leotar
2–1–3
FC Velez Nevesinje
(6 last)
- Leotar2-0FC Velez Nevesinje
- FC Velez Nevesinje0-0Leotar
- Leotar1-2FC Velez Nevesinje
- FC Velez Nevesinje2-0Leotar
- FC Velez Nevesinje2-1Leotar
- Leotar2-1FC Velez Nevesinje
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leotar 1622 · FC Velez Nevesinje 1443
| Leotar | Draw | FC Velez Nevesinje | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| Market | 78% | 14% | 8% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.79 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leotar (rating 1622 vs 1443).
- H2H favours FC Velez Nevesinje: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Leotar | FC Velez Nevesinje | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0 | 0 / 3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 0/0/100% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.5 | 1.5 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leotar 2–1–3 FC Velez Nevesinje
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Leotar | 2-0 | FC Velez Nevesinje |
| 10/09/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | FC Velez Nevesinje | 0-0 | Leotar |
| 10/05/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Leotar | 1-2 HT 0-2 | FC Velez Nevesinje |
| 26/10/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | FC Velez Nevesinje | 2-0 | Leotar |
| 13/04/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | FC Velez Nevesinje | 2-1 | Leotar |
| 23/09/23 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Leotar | 2-1 | FC Velez Nevesinje |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leotar | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 5 | 29 |
| 2 | FK Laktasi | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 7 | 25 |
| 3 | FK Majevica Lopare | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 19 |
| 4 | FK Drina Zvornik | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | FK Potkozarje | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 17 |
| 6 | FK Kozara Gradiska | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | FK Rudar Prijedor | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 15 |
| 8 | Romanija Pale | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 24 | 15 |
| 9 | FK Famos Vojkovici | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 13 |
| 10 | Slavija Sarajevo | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 11 |
| 11 | Sutjeska Foca | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 11 |
| 12 | FC Velez Nevesinje | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 11 |
| 13 | FK Omarska | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 8 |
| 14 | Zvijezda 09 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 7 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Leotar | FC Velez Nevesinje |
|---|---|---|
| Romanija Pale | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| FK Majevica Lopare | 6-0 W | 0-3 L |
| FK Potkozarje | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| FK Famos Vojkovici | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Zvijezda 09 | 4-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Sutjeska Foca | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| FK Kozara Gradiska | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| FK Omarska | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| FK Rudar Prijedor | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 8 W 1 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Leotar (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leotar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | FK Laktasi Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/10 | Romanija Pale Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/10 | FK Majevica Lopare Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/09 | FK Potkozarje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 22/09 | FK Famos Vojkovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | Zvijezda 09 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 16/09 | Sutjeska Foca Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | FK Kozara Gradiska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | FK Omarska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/09 | FK Rudar Prijedor Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
FC Velez Nevesinje
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Romanija Pale Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 10/10 | FK Majevica Lopare Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 03/10 | FK Potkozarje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/09 | FK Famos Vojkovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 23/09 | Zvijezda 09 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | FK Kozara Gradiska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | FK Omarska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | FK Rudar Prijedor Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 02/09 | FK Drina Zvornik Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-4 | 0-8 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 29/08 | Sutjeska Foca Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leotar vs FC Velez Nevesinje?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Leotar win (78%). Probabilities: Leotar 78%, draw 14%, FC Velez Nevesinje 8%.
How many goals are expected in Leotar vs FC Velez Nevesinje?
The model expects 3.79 goals (Leotar 2.89 · FC Velez Nevesinje 0.89), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Leotar vs FC Velez Nevesinje?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.