Football · Japan L2 League Women · 30/08, 10:00

Prediction: Veertien Mie (W) vs Kibi University (W)

Team pages: Veertien Mie (W) · Kibi University (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.6Total

Veertien Mie (W)0.86

Kibi University (W)1.73

1X2

17% 26% 57%

Veertien Mie (W) Draw Kibi University (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Veertien Mie (W) 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDLDWLWDWL

Kibi University (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWDWWW

Head-to-head

Veertien Mie (W) 1–2–3 Kibi University (W) (6 last)

Kibi University (W)2-0Veertien Mie (W)
Veertien Mie (W)0-3Kibi University (W)
Kibi University (W)1-1Veertien Mie (W)
Kibi University (W)2-0Veertien Mie (W)
Veertien Mie (W)1-0Kibi University (W)
Veertien Mie (W)0-0Kibi University (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Veertien Mie (W) 1484 · Kibi University (W) 1581

	Veertien Mie (W)	Draw	Kibi University (W)
Our model	17%	26%	57%
Market	17%	26%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kibi University (W) (rating 1484 vs 1581).
H2H favours Kibi University (W): 3-2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Veertien Mie (W)	Kibi University (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.1	2.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	1.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3.2	1.5 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.3 / 0	0.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

15.25

X3.50

21.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)2.00

2 (-0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.50 → 5.25▼	Bet365 5.25
X	3.60 → 3.50▼	Bet365 3.50
2	1.53 → 1.60▲	Pinn 1.98 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.1% Pinnacle margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
08:20 +10’	5.50	3.60	1.53
15:45 +5’	5.25▼	3.50▼	1.60▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
08:29	5.74	3.56	1.49
15:47 +4’	3.37▼	3.10▼	1.98▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Veertien Mie (W) 1–2–3 Kibi University (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Japan L2 League Women	Kibi University (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Veertien Mie (W)
06/07/25 Japan L2 League Women	Veertien Mie (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	Kibi University (W)
06/05/25 Japan L2 League Women	Kibi University (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Veertien Mie (W)
15/06/24 Japan L2 League Women	Kibi University (W)	2-0 HT 0-0	Veertien Mie (W)
20/04/24 Japan L2 League Women	Veertien Mie (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Kibi University (W)
15/10/23 Japan L2 League Women	Veertien Mie (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Kibi University (W)

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Veertien Mie (W)	Kibi University (W)
FC Osaka Speranza (W)	0-0 D	3-2 W
FC Yamato Sylphid (W)	1-0 W	5-0 W
Gunma FC White Star (W)	1-0 W	3-0 W
Nankatsu SC (W)	2-2 D	2-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Kibi University (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Veertien Mie (W)

DDLDWLWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/06	JFA Academy (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-2	0-2	2	0	L
20/06	Diosa Izumo (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
14/06	FC Osaka Speranza (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-0	2	0	D
06/06	FC Yamato Sylphid (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	1-0	6	0	W
31/05	FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-3	1-3	4	1	L
24/05	Gunma FC White Star (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-0	1-0	3	0	W
17/05	Nankatsu SC (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-0	2-2	4	1	D
03/05	Kibi University (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-1	0-2	2	1	L
26/04	JFA Academy (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	1-1	6	0	D
19/04	Diosa Izumo (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-0	0	0	D

Kibi University (W)

LLWWWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/06	Gunma FC White Star (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-0	3-0	0	1	W
21/06	FC Osaka Speranza (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-1	3-2	1	1	W
14/06	Renofa Yamaguchi (W) Japan L2 League Women	3-0	3-0	3	0	W
07/06	Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	1-1	3	0	D
24/05	FC Yamato Sylphid (W) Japan L2 League Women	3-0	5-0	7	0	W
03/05	Veertien Mie (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-0	2-0	3	1	W
26/04	Gunma FC White Star (W) Japan L2 League Women	2-0	3-0	3	0	W
18/04	FC Osaka Speranza (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	1-0	1	2	W
21/03	Nankatsu SC (W) Japan L2 League Women	2-1	2-3	4	0	L
13/10	Nankatsu SC (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-1	2-3	5	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Veertien Mie (W) vs Kibi University (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kibi University (W) win (57%). Probabilities: Veertien Mie (W) 17%, draw 26%, Kibi University (W) 57%.

How many goals are expected in Veertien Mie (W) vs Kibi University (W)?

The model expects 2.6 goals (Veertien Mie (W) 0.86 · Kibi University (W) 1.73), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Veertien Mie (W) vs Kibi University (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.