Football · Japan L2 League Women · 30/08, 10:00

Prediction: FC Yamato Sylphid (W) vs Nankatsu SC (W)

Team pages: FC Yamato Sylphid (W) · Nankatsu SC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.59Total

FC Yamato Sylphid (W)1.11

Nankatsu SC (W)1.48

1X2

27% 28% 45%

FC Yamato Sylphid (W) Draw Nankatsu SC (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Yamato Sylphid (W) 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLDWLLLLL

Nankatsu SC (W) 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDDLDDWLLW

Head-to-head

FC Yamato Sylphid (W) 1–1–1 Nankatsu SC (W) (3 last)

Nankatsu SC (W)2-2FC Yamato Sylphid (W)
FC Yamato Sylphid (W)4-1Nankatsu SC (W)
Nankatsu SC (W)3-0FC Yamato Sylphid (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Yamato Sylphid (W) 1408 · Nankatsu SC (W) 1493

	FC Yamato Sylphid (W)	Draw	Nankatsu SC (W)
Our model	27%	28%	44%
Market	28%	28%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nankatsu SC (W) (rating 1408 vs 1493).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Yamato Sylphid (W)	Nankatsu SC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 1.6	1.4 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 1.2	0.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/20/80%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.4	1 / 1.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.3 / 0	0.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.25

X3.25

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.37 ★
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.00 → 2.00	Pinn 2.02

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
08:00 +29’	3.25	3.25	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
08:29	3.37	3.00	2.02

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Yamato Sylphid (W) 1–1–1 Nankatsu SC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Japan L2 League Women	Nankatsu SC (W)	2-2 HT 2-1	FC Yamato Sylphid (W)
21/06/25 Japan L2 League Women	FC Yamato Sylphid (W)	4-1 HT 3-0	Nankatsu SC (W)
26/04/25 Japan L2 League Women	Nankatsu SC (W)	3-0 HT 2-0	FC Yamato Sylphid (W)

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Yamato Sylphid (W)	Nankatsu SC (W)
SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)	0-1 L	4-1 W
Veertien Mie (W)	0-1 L	2-2 D
Kibi University (W)	0-5 L	3-2 W
Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)	1-2 L	0-5 L
JFA Academy (W)	1-0 W	0-0 D
Renofa Yamaguchi (W)	1-2 L	0-2 L
Diosa Izumo (W)	0-1 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 6 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Nankatsu SC (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Yamato Sylphid (W)

LLLDWLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	FC Osaka Speranza (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-1	0-1	7	0	L
14/06	SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-1	0-1	2	0	L
06/06	Veertien Mie (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
24/05	Kibi University (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-3	0-5	1	0	L
17/05	Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-2	1-2	2	0	L
10/05	JFA Academy (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	1-0	5	0	W
03/05	Nankatsu SC (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-2	2-2	6	1	D
19/04	Renofa Yamaguchi (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-1	1-2	4	1	L
11/04	SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-1	0-1	5	1	L
29/03	Diosa Izumo (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-1	0-1	0	0	L

Nankatsu SC (W)

WDDLDDWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Diosa Izumo (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	2-0	2	0	W
13/06	FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-3	0-4	2	0	L
30/05	Renofa Yamaguchi (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-2	0-2	2	0	L
23/05	SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-0	4-1	4	2	W
17/05	Veertien Mie (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-1	2-2	2	1	D
03/05	FC Yamato Sylphid (W) Japan L2 League Women	2-1	2-2	0	1	D
19/04	Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-1	0-5	2	0	L
05/04	JFA Academy (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-0	1	0	D
28/03	Renofa Yamaguchi (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-1	1-1	2	1	D
21/03	Kibi University (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-2	3-2	2	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Yamato Sylphid (W) vs Nankatsu SC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Nankatsu SC (W) win (45%). Probabilities: FC Yamato Sylphid (W) 27%, draw 28%, Nankatsu SC (W) 45%.

How many goals are expected in FC Yamato Sylphid (W) vs Nankatsu SC (W)?

The model expects 2.59 goals (FC Yamato Sylphid (W) 1.11 · Nankatsu SC (W) 1.48), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Yamato Sylphid (W) vs Nankatsu SC (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.