Football · Japan L2 League Women · 06/09, 06:00

Prediction: Nankatsu SC (W) vs Gunma FC White Star (W)

Team pages: Nankatsu SC (W) · Gunma FC White Star (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.26Total

Nankatsu SC (W)1.14

Gunma FC White Star (W)1.11

1X2

36% 30% 34%

Nankatsu SC (W) Draw Gunma FC White Star (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Nankatsu SC (W) 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DDLDDWLLWD

Gunma FC White Star (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WDLWLLLLLD

Head-to-head

Nankatsu SC (W) 1–1–0 Gunma FC White Star (W) (2 last)

Nankatsu SC (W)1-0Gunma FC White Star (W)
Gunma FC White Star (W)1-1Nankatsu SC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nankatsu SC (W) 1491 · Gunma FC White Star (W) 1435

	Nankatsu SC (W)	Draw	Gunma FC White Star (W)
Our model	35%	31%	34%
Market	36%	29%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nankatsu SC (W) (rating 1491 vs 1435).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nankatsu SC (W)	Gunma FC White Star (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.7	0.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 2	2.7 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.5 / 0	0.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.10

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.98

Under 2.251.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Pinn 2.57 ★
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.55 → 2.55	Pinn 2.62

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3% Pinnacle margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
18:50 +2’	2.45	3.10	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:18 +155’	2.57	2.83	2.62

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nankatsu SC (W) 1–1–0 Gunma FC White Star (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
27/09/25 Japan L2 League Women	Nankatsu SC (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Gunma FC White Star (W)
10/05/25 Japan L2 League Women	Gunma FC White Star (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Nankatsu SC (W)

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nankatsu SC (W)	Gunma FC White Star (W)
Diosa Izumo (W)	2-0 W	1-2 L
FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)	0-4 L	0-0 D
SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W)	4-1 W	1-1 D
Veertien Mie (W)	2-2 D	0-1 L
Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)	0-5 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Nankatsu SC (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nankatsu SC (W)

DDLDDWLLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	FC Yamato Sylphid (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-0	3	0	D
16/08	Diosa Izumo (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	2-0	2	0	W
13/06	FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-3	0-4	2	0	L
30/05	Renofa Yamaguchi (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-2	0-2	2	0	L
23/05	SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-0	4-1	4	2	W
17/05	Veertien Mie (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-1	2-2	2	1	D
03/05	FC Yamato Sylphid (W) Japan L2 League Women	2-1	2-2	0	1	D
19/04	Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-1	0-5	2	0	L
05/04	JFA Academy (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-0	1	0	D
28/03	Renofa Yamaguchi (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-1	1-1	2	1	D

Gunma FC White Star (W)

WDLWLLLLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-0	1-1	1	0	D
28/06	Kibi University (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-1	0-3	13	1	L
13/06	Diosa Izumo (W) Japan L2 League Women	1-2	1-2	3	0	L
06/06	FC Osaka Speranza (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-2	0-2	5	2	L
30/05	Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-1	1	1	L
24/05	Veertien Mie (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-1	0-1	11	0	L
03/05	SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) Japan L2 League Women	2-0	2-1	4	3	W
26/04	Kibi University (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-2	0-3	4	0	L
19/04	FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	0-0	5	0	D
04/04	FC Osaka Speranza (W) Japan L2 League Women	0-0	2-0	3	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nankatsu SC (W) vs Gunma FC White Star (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nankatsu SC (W) win (36%). Probabilities: Nankatsu SC (W) 36%, draw 30%, Gunma FC White Star (W) 34%.

How many goals are expected in Nankatsu SC (W) vs Gunma FC White Star (W)?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Nankatsu SC (W) 1.14 · Gunma FC White Star (W) 1.11), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Nankatsu SC (W) vs Gunma FC White Star (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.