Prediction: Pioneros de Cancun vs Club Celaya

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.96Total
Pioneros de Cancun1.49
Club Celaya1.47
1X2
37% 27% 36%
Pioneros de Cancun Draw Club Celaya
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Pioneros de Cancun 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DLWDWWLLDD
Club Celaya 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WLDLDWWWLL
Head-to-head
Pioneros de Cancun 0–2 Club Celaya (2 last)
  • Pioneros de Cancun0-2Club Celaya
  • Club Celaya3-1Pioneros de Cancun
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pioneros de Cancun 1495 · Club Celaya 1499
Pioneros de CancunDrawClub Celaya
Our model37%27%36%
Market37%26%36%
Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Club Celaya: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Pioneros de CancunClub Celaya
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.21.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.30.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 3.72.9 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 03.3 / 0.6

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pioneros de Cancun 002 Club Celaya

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/01/26
Mexico Segunda Division
Pioneros de Cancun0-2
HT 0-2
Club Celaya
24/08/25
Mexico Segunda Division
Club Celaya3-1
HT 1-1
Pioneros de Cancun

Standings · Mexico Segunda Division · Liga Primera Premier 26/27, Group 2

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Chapulineros de Oaxaca 000 000
1 Club Celaya FC 000 000
1 Deportiva Venados 000 000
1 Inter Playa del Carmen 000 000
1 Jaguares de Chiapas FC 000 000
1 Montaneses FC 000 000
1 Pioneros de Cancun 000 000
1 Racing de Veracruz 000 000
1 Tapachula Soconusco FC 000 000

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPioneros de CancunClub Celaya
Chapulineros de Oaxaca 1-1 D 1-0 W
Jaguares de Chiapas FC 2-0 W 1-1 D
Montaneses FC 0-1 L 1-5 L
Inter Playa del Carmen 1-1 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 1 L 1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Pioneros de Cancun (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pioneros de Cancun

DLWDWWLLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/04 Chapulineros de Oaxaca
Mexico Segunda Division
1-1 1-1 42 D
28/03 Racing de Veracruz
Mexico Segunda Division
1-0 1-1 06 D
22/03 Tapachula Soconusco FC
Mexico Segunda Division
0-0 1-2 21 L
14/03 Deportiva Venados
Mexico Segunda Division
1-1 2-3 26 L
08/03 Neza FC
Mexico Segunda Division
0-0 3-0 W
28/02 Dragones Toluca
Mexico Segunda Division
2-0 3-1 71 W
21/02 Club Canoneros Marina
Mexico Segunda Division
2-0 2-2 43 D
07/02 Jaguares de Chiapas FC
Mexico Segunda Division
1-0 2-0 24 W
01/02 Montaneses FC
Mexico Segunda Division
0-0 0-1 42 L
24/01 Inter Playa del Carmen
Mexico Segunda Division
0-1 1-1 81 D

Club Celaya

WLDLDWWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/04 Cimarrones de Sonora FC
Mexico Segunda Division
0-0 1-2 34 L
25/04 Cimarrones de Sonora FC
Mexico Segunda Division
0-0 1-2 L
23/04 Cimarrones de Sonora FC
Mexico Segunda Division
1-1 2-1 44 W
18/04 Universidad Guadalajara II
Mexico Segunda Division
1-0 2-1 30 W
16/04 Universidad Guadalajara II
Mexico Segunda Division
3-0 5-0 90 W
12/04 Jaguares de Chiapas FC
Mexico Segunda Division
0-1 1-1 76 D
29/03 Montaneses FC
Mexico Segunda Division
0-1 1-5 88 L
22/03 Inter Playa del Carmen
Mexico Segunda Division
0-0 0-0 25 D
13/03 Héroes de Zaci FC
Mexico Segunda Division
1-1 2-3 L
03/03 Chapulineros de Oaxaca
Mexico Segunda Division
1-0 1-0 74 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pioneros de Cancun vs Club Celaya?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pioneros de Cancun win (37%). Probabilities: Pioneros de Cancun 37%, draw 27%, Club Celaya 36%.

How many goals are expected in Pioneros de Cancun vs Club Celaya?

The model expects 2.96 goals (Pioneros de Cancun 1.49 · Club Celaya 1.47), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Pioneros de Cancun vs Club Celaya?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.