Football · Mexico Segunda Division · 30/08, 02:00
Prediction: CD Ayense vs Huracanes Izcalli FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.97Total
CD Ayense2.33
Huracanes Izcalli FC0.64
1X2
CD Ayense
Draw
Huracanes Izcalli FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
CD Ayense
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Huracanes Izcalli FC
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CD Ayense
5–1–0
Huracanes Izcalli FC
(6 last)
- CD Ayense3-0Huracanes Izcalli FC
- Huracanes Izcalli FC1-2CD Ayense
- CD Ayense5-2Huracanes Izcalli FC
- Huracanes Izcalli FC0-0CD Ayense
- CD Ayense3-0Huracanes Izcalli FC
- Huracanes Izcalli FC0-1CD Ayense
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CD Ayense 1538 · Huracanes Izcalli FC 1402
| CD Ayense | Draw | Huracanes Izcalli FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 18% | 8% |
| Market | 75% | 17% | 8% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Ayense (rating 1538 vs 1402).
- H2H favours CD Ayense: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CD Ayense | Huracanes Izcalli FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1 | 1 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 0/20/80% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3 | 0.8 / 2.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 3.3 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Ayense 5–1–0 Huracanes Izcalli FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Mexico Segunda Division | CD Ayense | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Huracanes Izcalli FC |
| 25/10/25 Mexico Segunda Division | Huracanes Izcalli FC | 1-2 HT 1-1 | CD Ayense |
| 27/02/25 Mexico Segunda Division | CD Ayense | 5-2 HT 1-1 | Huracanes Izcalli FC |
| 06/09/24 Mexico Segunda Division | Huracanes Izcalli FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CD Ayense |
| 24/03/24 Mexico Segunda Division | CD Ayense | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Huracanes Izcalli FC |
| 20/10/23 Mexico Segunda Division | Huracanes Izcalli FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CD Ayense |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CD Ayense | Huracanes Izcalli FC |
|---|---|---|
| FC Racing | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Gorilas de Juanacatlán | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Dragones de Oaxaca | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Poza Rica | 4-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Acambaro | 2-1 W | 3-8 L |
| Aguacateros CDU | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Artesanos Metepec FC | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 2 L | 0 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: CD Ayense (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD Ayense
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03 | FC Racing Mexico Segunda Division |
2-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 26/03 | FC Racing Mexico Segunda Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 15/03 | FC Racing Mexico Segunda Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 07/03 | Gorilas de Juanacatlán Mexico Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 22/02 | Huracanes Izcalli FC Mexico Segunda Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/02 | Dragones de Oaxaca Mexico Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 08/02 | Poza Rica Mexico Segunda Division |
2-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/02 | Acambaro Mexico Segunda Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/01 | Aguacateros CDU Mexico Segunda Division |
2-0 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 18/01 | Artesanos Metepec FC Mexico Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Huracanes Izcalli FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03 | Poza Rica Mexico Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 07/03 | Acambaro Mexico Segunda Division |
2-5 | 3-8 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 22/02 | CD Ayense Mexico Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/02 | Artesanos Metepec FC Mexico Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 08/02 | Caja Oblatos CFD Mexico Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 31/01 | FC Racing Mexico Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 24/01 | Gorilas de Juanacatlán Mexico Segunda Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 17/01 | Aguacateros CDU Mexico Segunda Division |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 10/01 | Dragones de Oaxaca Mexico Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 15/11 | Poza Rica Mexico Segunda Division |
1-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD Ayense vs Huracanes Izcalli FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Ayense win (75%). Probabilities: CD Ayense 75%, draw 17%, Huracanes Izcalli FC 8%.
How many goals are expected in CD Ayense vs Huracanes Izcalli FC?
The model expects 2.97 goals (CD Ayense 2.33 · Huracanes Izcalli FC 0.64), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CD Ayense vs Huracanes Izcalli FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.