Football · Mexico Segunda Division · 30/08, 01:00
Prediction: Tapachula Soconusco FC vs Racing de Veracruz
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
Tapachula Soconusco FC0.97
Racing de Veracruz1.59
1X2
Tapachula Soconusco FC
Draw
Racing de Veracruz
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Tapachula Soconusco FC
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Racing de Veracruz
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tapachula Soconusco FC
0–2–2
Racing de Veracruz
(4 last)
- Racing de Veracruz2-1Tapachula Soconusco FC
- Tapachula Soconusco FC0-1Racing de Veracruz
- Tapachula Soconusco FC0-0Racing de Veracruz
- Racing de Veracruz1-1Tapachula Soconusco FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tapachula Soconusco FC 1536 · Racing de Veracruz 1576
| Tapachula Soconusco FC | Draw | Racing de Veracruz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 28% | 51% |
| Market | 23% | 25% | 52% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Racing de Veracruz (rating 1536 vs 1576).
- H2H favours Racing de Veracruz: 2-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tapachula Soconusco FC | Racing de Veracruz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1 | 2.3 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 1.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 56/33/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.3 | 2.8 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.4 | 6 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tapachula Soconusco FC 0–2–2 Racing de Veracruz
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Mexico Segunda Division | Racing de Veracruz | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Tapachula Soconusco FC |
| 16/09/25 Mexico Segunda Division | Tapachula Soconusco FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Racing de Veracruz |
| 23/03/25 Mexico Segunda Division | Tapachula Soconusco FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Racing de Veracruz |
| 10/11/24 Mexico Segunda Division | Racing de Veracruz | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Tapachula Soconusco FC |
Standings · Mexico Segunda Division · Liga Primera Premier 26/27, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chapulineros de Oaxaca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Club Celaya FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Deportiva Venados | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Inter Playa del Carmen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Jaguares de Chiapas FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Montaneses FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Pioneros de Cancun | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Racing de Veracruz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tapachula Soconusco FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tapachula Soconusco FC | Racing de Veracruz |
|---|---|---|
| Club Canoneros Marina | 2-1 W | 5-0 W |
| Pioneros de Cancun | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Jaguares de Chiapas FC | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Montaneses FC | 3-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Inter Playa del Carmen | 0-1 L | 5-0 W |
| Héroes de Zaci FC | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Club Celaya | 2-2 D | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 1 L | 6 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Racing de Veracruz (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tapachula Soconusco FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04 | Tritones Vallarta MFC Mexico Segunda Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 16/04 | Tritones Vallarta MFC Mexico Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 12/04 | Dragones Toluca Mexico Segunda Division |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 28/03 | Club Canoneros Marina Mexico Segunda Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 22/03 | Pioneros de Cancun Mexico Segunda Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 15/03 | Jaguares de Chiapas FC Mexico Segunda Division |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 10/03 | Montaneses FC Mexico Segunda Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 28/02 | Inter Playa del Carmen Mexico Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 22/02 | Héroes de Zaci FC Mexico Segunda Division |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 15/02 | Club Celaya Mexico Segunda Division |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
Racing de Veracruz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04 | Halcones de Zapopan Mexico Segunda Division |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 22/04 | Halcones de Zapopan Mexico Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 10/04 | Club Canoneros Marina Mexico Segunda Division |
4-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/03 | Pioneros de Cancun Mexico Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 21/03 | Jaguares de Chiapas FC Mexico Segunda Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/03 | Montaneses FC Mexico Segunda Division |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 08/03 | Inter Playa del Carmen Mexico Segunda Division |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/02 | Héroes de Zaci FC Mexico Segunda Division |
3-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/02 | Club Celaya Mexico Segunda Division |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 13/02 | Chapulineros de Oaxaca Mexico Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tapachula Soconusco FC vs Racing de Veracruz?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Racing de Veracruz win (51%). Probabilities: Tapachula Soconusco FC 22%, draw 26%, Racing de Veracruz 51%.
How many goals are expected in Tapachula Soconusco FC vs Racing de Veracruz?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Tapachula Soconusco FC 0.97 · Racing de Veracruz 1.59), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Tapachula Soconusco FC vs Racing de Veracruz?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.