Football · Mexico Segunda Division · 29/08, 23:30
Prediction: Ciervos FC vs Dragones de Oaxaca
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.76Total
Ciervos FC1.33
Dragones de Oaxaca1.43
1X2
Ciervos FC
Draw
Dragones de Oaxaca
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Ciervos FC
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Dragones de Oaxaca
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ciervos FC 1451 · Dragones de Oaxaca 1481
| Ciervos FC | Draw | Dragones de Oaxaca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 28% | 39% |
| Market | 35% | 26% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ciervos FC | Dragones de Oaxaca | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.9 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 1.8 | 1.7 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.3 | 3.2 / 0.7 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ciervos FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04 | Chilpancingo Mexico Segunda Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 31/03 | FC Santiago Mexico Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 21/03 | Zacatepec FC Mexico Segunda Division |
0-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 14/03 | Sporting Canamy Mexico Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 07/03 | Gavilanes FC Matamoros Mexico Segunda Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/02 | Correcaminos II Mexico Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 22/02 | Club Calor Mexico Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/02 | Zitacuaro CF Mexico Segunda Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 06/02 | Atletico Hidalgo Mexico Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 31/01 | Cordobes Futbol Club Mexico Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
Dragones de Oaxaca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03 | Poza Rica Mexico Segunda Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/03 | Poza Rica Mexico Segunda Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 14/03 | Aguacateros CDU Mexico Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 07/03 | Poza Rica Mexico Segunda Division |
3-1 | 5-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/02 | Acambaro Mexico Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/02 | CD Ayense Mexico Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 07/02 | Artesanos Metepec FC Mexico Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/02 | Caja Oblatos CFD Mexico Segunda Division |
1-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 24/01 | FC Racing Mexico Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 17/01 | Gorilas de Juanacatlán Mexico Segunda Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ciervos FC vs Dragones de Oaxaca?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Dragones de Oaxaca win (39%). Probabilities: Ciervos FC 34%, draw 27%, Dragones de Oaxaca 39%.
How many goals are expected in Ciervos FC vs Dragones de Oaxaca?
The model expects 2.76 goals (Ciervos FC 1.33 · Dragones de Oaxaca 1.43), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Ciervos FC vs Dragones de Oaxaca?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.