Football · Mexico Segunda Division · 29/08, 03:30
Prediction: ACF Zapotlanejo vs Guerreros de Autlán
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.51Total
ACF Zapotlanejo1.48
Guerreros de Autlán2.03
1X2
ACF Zapotlanejo
Draw
Guerreros de Autlán
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
ACF Zapotlanejo
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Guerreros de Autlán
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
ACF Zapotlanejo
1–1
Guerreros de Autlán
(2 last)
- ACF Zapotlanejo3-0Guerreros de Autlán
- Guerreros de Autlán3-1ACF Zapotlanejo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · ACF Zapotlanejo 1469 · Guerreros de Autlán 1461
| ACF Zapotlanejo | Draw | Guerreros de Autlán | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 23% | 50% |
| Market | 28% | 22% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.51 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ACF Zapotlanejo | Guerreros de Autlán | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.8 | 1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.8 | 2.4 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.4 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ACF Zapotlanejo 1–0–1 Guerreros de Autlán
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/26 Mexico Segunda Division | ACF Zapotlanejo | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Guerreros de Autlán |
| 01/09/25 Mexico Segunda Division | Guerreros de Autlán | 3-1 HT 1-0 | ACF Zapotlanejo |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ACF Zapotlanejo | Guerreros de Autlán |
|---|---|---|
| Cimarrones de Sonora FC | 0-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Colima | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| U.A. Zacatecas | 4-2 W | 1-3 L |
| CF Reboceros La Piedad | 4-4 D | 0-3 L |
| Universidad Guadalajara II | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Los Cabos United | 4-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Tigres de Álica FC | 1-5 L | 2-2 D |
| Tritones Vallarta MFC | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 4 L | 1 W 3 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ACF Zapotlanejo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04 | Cimarrones de Sonora FC Mexico Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 06/04 | Colima Mexico Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 29/03 | Ensenada FC Mexico Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/03 | U.A. Zacatecas Mexico Segunda Division |
2-0 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 15/03 | Alacranes de Durango Mexico Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 08/03 | CF Reboceros La Piedad Mexico Segunda Division |
3-3 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 21/02 | Universidad Guadalajara II Mexico Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 15/02 | Los Cabos United Mexico Segunda Division |
3-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 08/02 | Tigres de Álica FC Mexico Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-5 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 01/02 | Tritones Vallarta MFC Mexico Segunda Division |
3-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 7 | W |
Guerreros de Autlán
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04 | CF Reboceros La Piedad Mexico Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 06/04 | Tritones Vallarta MFC Mexico Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 30/03 | Colima Mexico Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 21/03 | Universidad Guadalajara II Mexico Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 15/03 | Los Cabos United Mexico Segunda Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 08/03 | Tigres de Álica FC Mexico Segunda Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 20/02 | Estudiantes Tecos Mexico Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 14/02 | U.A. Zacatecas Mexico Segunda Division |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 08/02 | Mineros de Fresnillo Mexico Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 31/01 | Cimarrones de Sonora FC Mexico Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ACF Zapotlanejo vs Guerreros de Autlán?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Guerreros de Autlán win (50%). Probabilities: ACF Zapotlanejo 27%, draw 23%, Guerreros de Autlán 50%.
How many goals are expected in ACF Zapotlanejo vs Guerreros de Autlán?
The model expects 3.51 goals (ACF Zapotlanejo 1.48 · Guerreros de Autlán 2.03), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in ACF Zapotlanejo vs Guerreros de Autlán?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.