Prediction: Black Bulls vs Chingale de Tete
Team pages: Black Bulls · Chingale de Tete
- Chingale de Tete0-3Black Bulls
- Black Bulls2-1Chingale de Tete
- Chingale de Tete2-0Black Bulls
| Black Bulls | Draw | Chingale de Tete | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 22% | 7% |
| Market | 72% | 19% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Black Bulls (rating 1599 vs 1427).
- H2H favours Black Bulls: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Black Bulls | Chingale de Tete | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.7 | 0.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 0/80/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 6 | 2.3 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Black Bulls 2–0–1 Chingale de Tete
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/26 Mozambique Mocambola | Chingale de Tete | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Black Bulls |
| 22/11/25 Mozambique Mocambola | Black Bulls | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Chingale de Tete |
| 06/07/25 Mozambique Mocambola | Chingale de Tete | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Black Bulls |
Standings · Mozambique Mocambola
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Black Bulls | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 35 |
| 2 | Ferroviario Beira | 15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
| 3 | Costa Do Sol | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 11 | 28 |
| 4 | Ferroviario de Nampula | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 18 | 24 |
| 5 | UD Songo | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 22 |
| 6 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| 7 | Ferroviario Maputo | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 19 |
| 8 | AD Pemba | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 17 |
| 9 | Clube Ferroviário de Nacala | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 15 |
| 10 | LD Sofala | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 15 |
| 11 | Vilankulo FC | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 14 |
| 12 | Baía de Pemba F.C | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| 13 | CD Maxaquene | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 10 |
| 14 | Chingale de Tete | 14 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Black Bulls | Chingale de Tete |
|---|---|---|
| Costa Do Sol | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| CD Maxaquene | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Baía de Pemba F.C | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| AD Pemba | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Ferroviario Lichinga | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Vilankulo FC | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| LD Sofala | 4-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 4 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Black Bulls (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Black Bulls
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | UD Songo Mozambique Mocambola |
1-0 | 3-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 26/08 | Costa Do Sol Mozambique Mocambola |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 21/08 | CD Maxaquene Mozambique Mocambola |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 17/08 | Clube Ferroviário de Nacala Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/08 | Ferroviario de Nampula Mozambique Mocambola |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/08 | Baía de Pemba F.C Mozambique Mocambola |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 05/08 | AD Pemba Mozambique Mocambola |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 24/07 | Ferroviario Lichinga Mozambique Mocambola |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 28/06 | Vilankulo FC Mozambique Mocambola |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 21/06 | LD Sofala Mozambique Mocambola |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
Chingale de Tete
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Ferroviario Maputo Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | Ferroviario Beira Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 20/08 | LD Sofala Mozambique Mocambola |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 13/08 | Vilankulo FC Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 10/08 | Ferroviario Lichinga Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 01/07 | Baía de Pemba F.C Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 28/06 | AD Pemba Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 21/06 | CD Maxaquene Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 16/06 | Costa Do Sol Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 21/05 | Black Bulls Mozambique Mocambola |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Black Bulls vs Chingale de Tete?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Black Bulls win (71%). Probabilities: Black Bulls 71%, draw 20%, Chingale de Tete 8%.
How many goals are expected in Black Bulls vs Chingale de Tete?
The model expects 2.25 goals (Black Bulls 1.81 · Chingale de Tete 0.43), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Black Bulls vs Chingale de Tete?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.