Prediction: Niteroiense vs Serrano
Team pages: Serrano
- Niteroiense1-3Serrano
| Niteroiense | Draw | Serrano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 29% | 31% |
| Market | 38% | 31% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 12.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Niteroiense | Serrano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.7 | 1.3 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 7 / 0.3 | 5.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Niteroiense 0–0–1 Serrano
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/25 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B | Niteroiense | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Serrano |
Standings · Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carapebus/Campos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Artsul Futebol Clube | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Audax Rio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Campo Grande AC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Duque de Caxias FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nova Cidade | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Goytacaz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Macae Esporte FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Niteroiense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Petropolis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sao Cristovao RJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Serrano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Niteroiense | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Bonsucesso FC | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Artsul Futebol Clube | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Petropolis | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Carapebus/Campos | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Nova Cidade | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Serrano (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Niteroiense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Paduano EC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
1-1 | 5-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 05/11 | Duque de Caxias FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 01/11 | Friburguense Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 24/10 | Campo Grande AC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/10 | Bonsucesso FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
2-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 10/10 | Artsul Futebol Clube Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 04/10 | Serrano Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 27/09 | Petropolis Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 13 | W |
| 20/09 | Carapebus/Campos Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Nova Cidade Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
Serrano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12 | Bonsucesso FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 30/11 | Bonsucesso FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 22/11 | Sao Cristovao RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 15/11 | Sao Cristovao RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 08/11 | Bonsucesso FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/11 | Sao Cristovao RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 01/11 | Artsul Futebol Clube Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/10 | Petropolis Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 18/10 | Carapebus/Campos Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 11/10 | Nova Cidade Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Niteroiense vs Serrano?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Niteroiense win (39%). Probabilities: Niteroiense 39%, draw 31%, Serrano 31%.
How many goals are expected in Niteroiense vs Serrano?
The model expects 2.51 goals (Niteroiense 1.34 · Serrano 1.17), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Niteroiense vs Serrano?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.