Prediction: Petropolis vs Niteroiense

Team pages: Petropolis · Niteroiense

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.35Total
Petropolis1.24
Niteroiense1.11
1X2
38% 31% 32%
Petropolis Draw Niteroiense
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Petropolis 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WLWWLLDWLD
Niteroiense 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LWLDLDWDWW
Head-to-head
Petropolis 0–1 Niteroiense (1 last)
  • Petropolis2-3Niteroiense
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Petropolis 1499 · Niteroiense 1512
PetropolisDrawNiteroiense
Our model38%31%32%
Market38%31%32%
Estimated total (ours) 2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 12.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PetropolisNiteroiense
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.81.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.40.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.5 / 5.31.6 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.8 / 0.47.1 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Petropolis 001 Niteroiense

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/09/25
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
Petropolis2-3
HT 0-2
Niteroiense

Standings · Brazil Campeonato Carioca B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Duque de Caxias FC 2200 716
2 Artsul Futebol Clube 1100 203
2 Niteroiense 1100 203
4 Campo Grande AC 1100 103
4 Goytacaz 1100 103
6 Petropolis 1010 001
6 Sao Cristovao RJ 1010 001
8 Macae Esporte FC 1001 010
9 Audax Rio 1001 020
9 Serrano 1001 020
11 Nova Cidade 1001 030
12 Carapebus/Campos 2002 150

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPetropolisNiteroiense
Campo Grande AC 0-1 L 1-1 D
Artsul Futebol Clube 1-0 W 2-2 D
Bonsucesso FC 1-1 D 2-3 L
Serrano 1-2 L 2-0 W
Carapebus/Campos 3-0 W 0-2 L
Paduano EC 1-0 W 5-1 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 2 L 2 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Petropolis

WLWWLLDWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Sao Cristovao RJ
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-0 0-0 34 D
08/11 Campo Grande AC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-0 0-1 L
05/11 Artsul Futebol Clube
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-0 1-0 74 W
01/11 Bonsucesso FC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-0 1-1 34 D
25/10 Serrano
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-2 1-2 57 L
18/10 Sao Cristovao RJ
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-0 0-1 87 L
11/10 Carapebus/Campos
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
1-0 3-0 55 W
04/10 Nova Cidade
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-0 1-0 W
27/09 Niteroiense
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-2 2-3 513 L
20/09 Paduano EC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
1-0 1-0 65 W

Niteroiense

LWLDLDWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Serrano
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
1-0 2-0 44 W
08/11 Paduano EC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
1-1 5-1 37 W
05/11 Duque de Caxias FC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-0 0-0 107 D
01/11 Friburguense
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
1-0 1-0 47 W
24/10 Campo Grande AC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-1 1-1 D
18/10 Bonsucesso FC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
2-1 2-3 49 L
10/10 Artsul Futebol Clube
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
1-2 2-2 38 D
04/10 Serrano
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
1-1 1-3 37 L
27/09 Petropolis
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
2-0 3-2 213 W
20/09 Carapebus/Campos
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-0 0-2 75 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Petropolis vs Niteroiense?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Petropolis win (38%). Probabilities: Petropolis 38%, draw 31%, Niteroiense 32%.

How many goals are expected in Petropolis vs Niteroiense?

The model expects 2.35 goals (Petropolis 1.24 · Niteroiense 1.11), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Petropolis vs Niteroiense?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.