Football · Israel Premier League · 31/08, 19:30
Prediction: Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa
Team pages: Maccabi Tel Aviv · Maccabi Haifa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.71Total
Maccabi Tel Aviv2.21
Maccabi Haifa1.5
1X2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Draw
Maccabi Haifa
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Maccabi Tel Aviv
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Maccabi Haifa
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Maccabi Tel Aviv
4–1–1
Maccabi Haifa
(6 last)
- Maccabi Tel Aviv3-0Maccabi Haifa
- Maccabi Haifa1-3Maccabi Tel Aviv
- Maccabi Tel Aviv3-2Maccabi Haifa
- Maccabi Haifa4-1Maccabi Tel Aviv
- Maccabi Tel Aviv1-1Maccabi Haifa
- Maccabi Haifa0-3Maccabi Tel Aviv
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maccabi Tel Aviv 1593 · Maccabi Haifa 1530
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | Draw | Maccabi Haifa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 22% | 25% |
| Market | 52% | 24% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.71 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maccabi Tel Aviv (rating 1593 vs 1530).
- H2H favours Maccabi Tel Aviv: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | Maccabi Haifa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.6 | 1.8 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.8 | 1.1 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maccabi Tel Aviv 4–1–1 Maccabi Haifa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/26 Israel Premier League | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Maccabi Haifa |
| 25/04/26 Israel Premier League | Maccabi Haifa | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
| 15/04/26 Israel Cup | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Maccabi Haifa |
| 18/01/26 Israel Premier League | Maccabi Haifa | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
| 05/10/25 Israel Premier League | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Maccabi Haifa |
| 19/05/25 Israel Premier League | Maccabi Haifa | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
Standings · Israel Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Maccabi Haifa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Maccabi Netanya | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Beitar Jerusalem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Hapoel Haifa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | Ironi Tiberias | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Maccabi Haifa |
|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Petah Tikva | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | 2-4 L | 5-2 W |
| Beitar Jerusalem | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | 1-1 D | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Maccabi Haifa (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC Israel Premier League |
2-1 | 5-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Hapoel Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 19/05 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel Premier League |
2-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Beitar Jerusalem Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | Maccabi Haifa Israel Premier League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 05/05 | Hapoel Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Beitar Jerusalem Israel Premier League |
2-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 28/04 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | Maccabi Haifa Israel Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
Maccabi Haifa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Hapoel Ramat Gan Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel Premier League |
2-1 | 5-2 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 19/05 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Hapoel Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 13/05 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Beitar Jerusalem Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 06/05 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Hapoel Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 29/04 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Maccabi Tel Aviv win (52%). Probabilities: Maccabi Tel Aviv 52%, draw 23%, Maccabi Haifa 24%.
How many goals are expected in Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa?
The model expects 3.71 goals (Maccabi Tel Aviv 2.21 · Maccabi Haifa 1.5), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.