Football · Israel Premier League · 07/09, 19:15
Prediction: Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar Jerusalem
Team pages: Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin · Beitar Jerusalem
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.57Total
Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin0.65
Beitar Jerusalem1.92
1X2
Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin
Draw
Beitar Jerusalem
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Beitar Jerusalem
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin
2–4
Beitar Jerusalem
(6 last)
- Beitar Jerusalem2-1Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin
- Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin1-2Beitar Jerusalem
- Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin0-3Beitar Jerusalem
- Beitar Jerusalem1-0Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin
- Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin2-1Beitar Jerusalem
- Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin2-1Beitar Jerusalem
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin 1398 · Beitar Jerusalem 1543
| Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin | Draw | Beitar Jerusalem | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 11% | 23% | 67% |
| Market | 12% | 20% | 68% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Beitar Jerusalem (rating 1398 vs 1543).
- H2H favours Beitar Jerusalem: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin | Beitar Jerusalem | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 1.6 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.2 | 3.2 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.3 | 5.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin 2–0–4 Beitar Jerusalem
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/12/25 Israel Premier League | Beitar Jerusalem | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin |
| 25/08/25 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Beitar Jerusalem |
| 03/04/25 Israel Cup | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Beitar Jerusalem |
| 25/01/25 Israel Premier League | Beitar Jerusalem | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin |
| 05/11/24 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Beitar Jerusalem |
| 17/02/24 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Beitar Jerusalem |
Standings · Israel Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Maccabi Netanya | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Maccabi Haifa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | Hapoel Haifa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 | Beitar Jerusalem | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 | Ironi Tiberias | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Maccabi Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 24/08 | Maccabi Netanya Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 18/05 | Hapoel Haifa Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 13/05 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona Israel Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 04/05 | Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 28/04 | MS Ashdod Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Maccabi Netanya Israel Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Ironi Tiberias Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 11/04 | Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 10 | W |
Beitar Jerusalem
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Maccabi Netanya Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 19/05 | Hapoel Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 20 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Maccabi Haifa Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 06/05 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 02/05 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
3-2 | 4-2 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 28/04 | Hapoel Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel Premier League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar Jerusalem?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Beitar Jerusalem win (67%). Probabilities: Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin 12%, draw 21%, Beitar Jerusalem 67%.
How many goals are expected in Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar Jerusalem?
The model expects 2.57 goals (Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin 0.65 · Beitar Jerusalem 1.92), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar Jerusalem?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.