Football · Israel Premier League · 05/09, 19:00

Prediction: Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Haifa

Team pages: Maccabi Netanya · Hapoel Haifa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

Maccabi Netanya1.83

Hapoel Haifa1.29

1X2

49% 26% 26%

Maccabi Netanya Draw Hapoel Haifa

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Maccabi Netanya 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLWLDWDW

Hapoel Haifa 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LDLDDLWDWD

Head-to-head

Maccabi Netanya 2–4–0 Hapoel Haifa (6 last)

Maccabi Netanya1-1Hapoel Haifa
Maccabi Netanya0-0Hapoel Haifa
Hapoel Haifa3-4Maccabi Netanya
Hapoel Haifa1-1Maccabi Netanya
Maccabi Netanya2-2Hapoel Haifa
Hapoel Haifa1-3Maccabi Netanya

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maccabi Netanya 1579 · Hapoel Haifa 1514

	Maccabi Netanya	Draw	Hapoel Haifa
Our model	49%	25%	26%
Market	48%	26%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maccabi Netanya (rating 1579 vs 1514).
H2H favours Maccabi Netanya: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Maccabi Netanya	Hapoel Haifa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.9	0.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.2	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/70/0%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.6	2.1 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.4	4.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.40

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:18 +18’	1.83	3.40	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Maccabi Netanya 2–4–0 Hapoel Haifa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/05/26 Israel Premier League	Maccabi Netanya	1-1 HT 1-1	Hapoel Haifa
11/04/26 Israel Premier League	Maccabi Netanya	0-0 HT 0-0	Hapoel Haifa
07/12/25 Israel Premier League	Hapoel Haifa	3-4 HT 1-2	Maccabi Netanya
17/05/25 Israel Premier League	Hapoel Haifa	1-1 HT 1-0	Maccabi Netanya
14/04/25 Israel Premier League	Maccabi Netanya	2-2 HT 1-0	Hapoel Haifa
02/02/25 Israel Premier League	Hapoel Haifa	1-3 HT 1-2	Maccabi Netanya

Standings · Israel Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Maccabi Tel Aviv	2	2	0	0	8	3	6
2	Maccabi Petah Tikva	2	2	0	0	4	2	6
3	Maccabi Netanya	2	1	1	0	4	1	4
4	Hapoel Kiryat Shmona	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
5	Hapoel Beer Sheva	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
6	Hapoel Petah Tikva	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
7	Maccabi Haifa	2	1	0	1	3	4	3
8	Hapoel Haifa	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
8	Hapoel Tel Aviv	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
10	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
11	Hapoel Ramat Gan	2	0	0	2	2	4	0
12	Beitar Jerusalem	1	0	0	1	1	4	0
13	Hapoel Jerusalem FC	2	0	0	2	2	6	0
14	Ironi Tiberias	2	1	0	1	1	2	-3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Maccabi Netanya	Hapoel Haifa
Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	0-0 D	3-0 W
Maccabi Bnei Raina	4-1 W	2-3 L
Ironi Tiberias	3-4 L	1-1 D
Hapoel Jerusalem FC	1-0 W	0-0 D
Hapoel Kiryat Shmona	0-1 L	0-2 L
MS Ashdod	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Maccabi Netanya (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maccabi Netanya

DWWLWLDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Beitar Jerusalem Israel Premier League	0-0	4-1	3	5	W
24/08	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin Israel Premier League	0-0	0-0	16	7	D
18/05	Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Premier League	1-0	4-1	3	3	W
13/05	Hapoel Haifa Israel Premier League	1-1	1-1	5	6	D
10/05	Ironi Tiberias Israel Premier League	1-1	3-4	3	4	L
04/05	Hapoel Jerusalem FC Israel Premier League	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
29/04	Hapoel Kiryat Shmona Israel Premier League	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
25/04	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin Israel Premier League	2-0	3-0	2	1	W
18/04	MS Ashdod Israel Premier League	0-0	2-1	4	9	W
11/04	Hapoel Haifa Israel Premier League	0-0	0-0	4	6	D

Hapoel Haifa

LDLDDLWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Premier League	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
18/05	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin Israel Premier League	0-0	3-0	3	6	W
13/05	Maccabi Netanya Israel Premier League	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
10/05	MS Ashdod Israel Premier League	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
03/05	Hapoel Kiryat Shmona Israel Premier League	0-1	0-2	12	1	L
29/04	Ironi Tiberias Israel Premier League	1-0	1-1	8	2	D
26/04	Hapoel Jerusalem FC Israel Premier League	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
18/04	Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Premier League	2-3	2-3	5	2	L
11/04	Maccabi Netanya Israel Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
05/04	Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Premier League	0-3	1-4	1	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Haifa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Maccabi Netanya win (49%). Probabilities: Maccabi Netanya 49%, draw 26%, Hapoel Haifa 26%.

How many goals are expected in Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Haifa?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Maccabi Netanya 1.83 · Hapoel Haifa 1.29), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Haifa?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.