Football · Romania Liga III · 23/09, 16:00
Prediction: Odorheiu Secuiesc vs Aerostar Bacau
Team pages: Aerostar Bacau
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.48Total
Odorheiu Secuiesc1.99
Aerostar Bacau1.49
1X2
Odorheiu Secuiesc
Draw
Aerostar Bacau
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Odorheiu Secuiesc
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Aerostar Bacau
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Odorheiu Secuiesc
2–3
Aerostar Bacau
(5 last)
- Odorheiu Secuiesc6-2Aerostar Bacau
- Odorheiu Secuiesc1-0Aerostar Bacau
- Aerostar Bacau5-3Odorheiu Secuiesc
- Aerostar Bacau6-0Odorheiu Secuiesc
- Aerostar Bacau5-1Odorheiu Secuiesc
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Odorheiu Secuiesc 1519 · Aerostar Bacau 1496
| Odorheiu Secuiesc | Draw | Aerostar Bacau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 23% | 28% |
| Market | 48% | 25% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Aerostar Bacau: 3-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Odorheiu Secuiesc | Aerostar Bacau | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.4 | 1.9 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 0 / 2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 0/0/100% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 2.5 | 2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0 | 1.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Odorheiu Secuiesc 2–0–3 Aerostar Bacau
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/26 Romania Liga III | Odorheiu Secuiesc | 6-2 | Aerostar Bacau |
| 12/12/25 Romania Liga III | Odorheiu Secuiesc | 1-0 | Aerostar Bacau |
| 26/09/25 Romania Liga III | Aerostar Bacau | 5-3 | Odorheiu Secuiesc |
| 01/12/17 Romania Liga III | Aerostar Bacau | 6-0 HT 1-0 | Odorheiu Secuiesc |
| 23/09/16 Romania Liga III | Aerostar Bacau | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Odorheiu Secuiesc |
Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSSM Vaslui | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | CSM Adjud | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | USV Iasi | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | ACS FC Bacau II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 5 | Odorheiu Secuiesc | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Aerostar Bacau | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 7 | ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 5 |
| 8 | Viitorul Onesti | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | CS Bradul Putna | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 4 |
| 10 | CS Gheorgheni | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 3 |
| 11 | FC Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 1 |
| 12 | CSM Pascani | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Odorheiu Secuiesc | Aerostar Bacau |
|---|---|---|
| CS Bradul Putna | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| CSSM Vaslui | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| CS Gheorgheni | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Acs Bucovina Radauti | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| ACS FC Bacau II | 4-2 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 0 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Odorheiu Secuiesc
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | FC Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt Romania Liga III |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/09 | CS Bradul Putna Romania Liga III |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 04/09 | CSSM Vaslui Romania Liga III |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 29/08 | CS Gheorgheni Romania Liga III |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | CS Gheorgheni Romania Liga III |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 08/05 | Aerostar Bacau Romania Liga III |
– | 6-2 | – | – | W |
| 01/05 | USV Iasi Romania Liga III |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 24/04 | Acs Bucovina Radauti Romania Liga III |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 17/04 | ACS FC Bacau II Romania Liga III |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 10/04 | CSSM Vaslui Romania Liga III |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | D |
Aerostar Bacau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | CS Bradul Putna Romania Liga III |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | CSSM Vaslui Romania Liga III |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/09 | CS Gheorgheni Romania Liga III |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | CSM Adjud Romania Liga III |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Acs Bucovina Radauti Romania Liga III |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/05 | Odorheiu Secuiesc Romania Liga III |
– | 2-6 | – | – | L |
| 01/05 | CSSM Vaslui Romania Liga III |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | CSM Adjud Romania Liga III |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 17/04 | CS Gheorgheni Romania Liga III |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 10/04 | ACS FC Bacau II Romania Liga III |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Odorheiu Secuiesc vs Aerostar Bacau?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Odorheiu Secuiesc win (48%). Probabilities: Odorheiu Secuiesc 48%, draw 24%, Aerostar Bacau 28%.
How many goals are expected in Odorheiu Secuiesc vs Aerostar Bacau?
The model expects 3.48 goals (Odorheiu Secuiesc 1.99 · Aerostar Bacau 1.49), with a 57% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Odorheiu Secuiesc vs Aerostar Bacau?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.