Football · Romania Liga III · 03/10, 14:00
Prediction: CSSM Vaslui vs USV Iasi
Team pages: CSSM Vaslui · USV Iasi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.02Total
CSSM Vaslui1.68
USV Iasi1.34
1X2
CSSM Vaslui
Draw
USV Iasi
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
CSSM Vaslui
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
USV Iasi
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CSSM Vaslui
4–2–0
USV Iasi
(6 last)
- CSSM Vaslui2-2USV Iasi
- CSSM Vaslui7-1USV Iasi
- USV Iasi0-2CSSM Vaslui
- CSSM Vaslui3-1USV Iasi
- USV Iasi0-3CSSM Vaslui
- USV Iasi2-2CSSM Vaslui
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CSSM Vaslui 1565 · USV Iasi 1573
| CSSM Vaslui | Draw | USV Iasi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 26% | 29% |
| Market | 45% | 25% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.02 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours CSSM Vaslui: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CSSM Vaslui | USV Iasi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/75/0% | 33/50/17% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 7.3 | 3 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CSSM Vaslui 4–2–0 USV Iasi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Romania Liga III | CSSM Vaslui | 2-2 HT 1-1 | USV Iasi |
| 29/11/25 Romania Liga III | CSSM Vaslui | 7-1 | USV Iasi |
| 19/09/25 Romania Liga III | USV Iasi | 0-2 HT 0-0 | CSSM Vaslui |
| 24/05/25 Romania Liga III | CSSM Vaslui | 3-1 | USV Iasi |
| 18/04/25 Romania Liga III | USV Iasi | 0-3 HT 0-2 | CSSM Vaslui |
| 01/03/25 Romania Liga III | USV Iasi | 2-2 | CSSM Vaslui |
Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSSM Vaslui | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | USV Iasi | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 16 |
| 3 | CSM Adjud | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 11 |
| 5 | Odorheiu Secuiesc | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | ACS FC Bacau II | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 10 |
| 7 | Aerostar Bacau | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| 8 | CS Bradul Putna | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 7 |
| 9 | CS Gheorgheni | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 6 |
| 10 | Viitorul Onesti | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 4 |
| 11 | CSM Pascani | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 1 |
| 12 | FC Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CSSM Vaslui | USV Iasi |
|---|---|---|
| Viitorul Onesti | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Odorheiu Secuiesc | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| CSM Adjud | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| CS Gheorgheni | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 2 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CSSM Vaslui
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Viitorul Onesti Romania Liga III |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/09 | ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc Romania Liga III |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 18/09 | CSM Pascani Romania Liga III |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | Aerostar Bacau Romania Liga III |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 04/09 | Odorheiu Secuiesc Romania Liga III |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 29/08 | CS Bradul Putna Romania Liga III |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | CSM Adjud Romania Liga III |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | CS Gheorgheni Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 01/05 | Aerostar Bacau Romania Liga III |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | USV Iasi Romania Liga III |
1-1 | 2-2 | 15 | 6 | D |
USV Iasi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | CS Gheorgheni Romania Liga III |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/09 | CSM Adjud Romania Liga III |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | ACS FC Bacau II Romania Liga III |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | FC Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt Romania Liga III |
– | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Viitorul Onesti Romania Liga III |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 29/08 | ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc Romania Liga III |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | ACS FC Bacau II Romania Liga III |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Acs Bucovina Radauti Romania Liga III |
– | 1-6 | – | – | L |
| 01/05 | Odorheiu Secuiesc Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | CSSM Vaslui Romania Liga III |
1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CSSM Vaslui vs USV Iasi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CSSM Vaslui win (45%). Probabilities: CSSM Vaslui 45%, draw 25%, USV Iasi 30%.
How many goals are expected in CSSM Vaslui vs USV Iasi?
The model expects 3.02 goals (CSSM Vaslui 1.68 · USV Iasi 1.34), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CSSM Vaslui vs USV Iasi?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.