Football · Romania Liga III · 03/10, 14:00

Prediction: Dunarea Giurgiu vs Progresul Mogosoaia

Team pages: Dunarea Giurgiu · Progresul Mogosoaia

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.21Total
Dunarea Giurgiu1.93
Progresul Mogosoaia1.28
1X2
51% 24% 24%
Dunarea Giurgiu Draw Progresul Mogosoaia
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Dunarea Giurgiu 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
WWDLWWDDWD
Progresul Mogosoaia 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LWWWDWWLLD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dunarea Giurgiu 1551 · Progresul Mogosoaia 1517
Dunarea GiurgiuDrawProgresul Mogosoaia
Our model51%24%24%
Market51%24%24%
Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Dunarea GiurgiuProgresul Mogosoaia
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 1.11.7 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.60.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%0/75/25%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 4.42.2 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6 / 0.24.6 / 0.1

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 5

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CS Omega Sport Bucuresti 7520 9417
2 CSM Alexandria 7421 12614
3 ACS Inter Ilfov 6411 16913
4 Dunarea Giurgiu 6330 11612
5 Acs Axi Arena 6303 459
6 Dinamo Bucharest II 7304 8129
7 Cetatea Turnu Magurele 6222 1798
8 Progresul Mogosoaia 6222 8108
9 Oxigen Bucuresti 7214 9147
10 AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti 6204 876
11 FC Voluntari II 7115 6114
12 Steaua Bucharest II 7106 7223

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDunarea GiurgiuProgresul Mogosoaia
CS Omega Sport Bucuresti 1-1 D 0-1 L
AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti 1-0 W 2-1 W
CSM Alexandria 2-2 D 2-2 D
Cetatea Turnu Magurele 2-0 W 3-3 D
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 0 L 1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Dunarea Giurgiu (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dunarea Giurgiu

WWDLWWDDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 CS Omega Sport Bucuresti
Romania Liga III
0-1 1-1 56 D
23/09 AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
Romania Liga III
– 1-0 –– W
18/09 CSM Alexandria
Romania Liga III
2-1 2-2 28 D
12/09 Oxigen Bucuresti
Romania Liga III
– 2-2 –– D
04/09 CF Inter Ilfov
Romania Liga III
0-0 3-1 44 W
29/08 Cetatea Turnu Magurele
Romania Liga III
– 2-0 –– W
09/05 AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
Romania Liga III
1-0 2-4 67 L
01/05 Oltul Curtisoara
Romania Liga III
1-1 1-1 56 D
24/04 CSM Alexandria
Romania Liga III
– 1-0 –– W
17/04 CSL Nanov
Romania Liga III
– 6-0 –– W

Progresul Mogosoaia

LWWWDWWLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Cetatea Turnu Magurele
Romania Liga III
1-1 3-3 17 D
23/09 CS Omega Sport Bucuresti
Romania Liga III
0-0 0-1 34 L
19/09 Dinamo Bucharest II
Romania Liga III
0-0 0-3 54 L
12/09 AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
Romania Liga III
1-1 2-1 62 W
04/09 FC Voluntari II
Romania Liga III
– 1-0 –– W
28/08 CSM Alexandria
Romania Liga III
– 2-2 –– D
16/05 CSO Baicoi
Romania Liga III
1-1 4-2 16 W
09/05 CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte
Romania Liga III
0-1 2-1 74 W
01/05 CS Urban Titu
Romania Liga III
0-0 2-0 –– W
25/04 Vointa 2024 Crevedia
Romania Liga III
1-2 1-4 26 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dunarea Giurgiu vs Progresul Mogosoaia?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dunarea Giurgiu win (51%). Probabilities: Dunarea Giurgiu 51%, draw 24%, Progresul Mogosoaia 24%.

How many goals are expected in Dunarea Giurgiu vs Progresul Mogosoaia?

The model expects 3.21 goals (Dunarea Giurgiu 1.93 · Progresul Mogosoaia 1.28), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Dunarea Giurgiu vs Progresul Mogosoaia?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.