Football · Romania Liga III · 03/10, 14:00
Prediction: CSA Axiopolis vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja
Team pages: CSA Axiopolis · Recolta Gheorghe Doja
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.04Total
CSA Axiopolis2.15
Recolta Gheorghe Doja1.9
1X2
CSA Axiopolis
Draw
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
CSA Axiopolis
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CSA Axiopolis
3–2–1
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
(6 last)
- Recolta Gheorghe Doja1-7CSA Axiopolis
- CSA Axiopolis2-1Recolta Gheorghe Doja
- Recolta Gheorghe Doja0-3CSA Axiopolis
- CSA Axiopolis3-3Recolta Gheorghe Doja
- Recolta Gheorghe Doja2-2CSA Axiopolis
- Recolta Gheorghe Doja2-0CSA Axiopolis
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CSA Axiopolis 1544 · Recolta Gheorghe Doja 1504
| CSA Axiopolis | Draw | Recolta Gheorghe Doja | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 22% | 34% |
| Market | 43% | 24% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.04 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSA Axiopolis (rating 1544 vs 1504).
- H2H favours CSA Axiopolis: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CSA Axiopolis | Recolta Gheorghe Doja | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.8 | 2.5 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2.5 / 0.5 | 1 / 2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 75/25/0% | 0/0/100% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 5.2 | 1 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CSA Axiopolis 3–2–1 Recolta Gheorghe Doja
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Romania Liga III | Recolta Gheorghe Doja | 1-7 | CSA Axiopolis |
| 05/12/25 Romania Liga III | CSA Axiopolis | 2-1 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja |
| 24/09/25 Romania Liga III | Recolta Gheorghe Doja | 0-3 | CSA Axiopolis |
| 23/11/24 Romania Liga III | CSA Axiopolis | 3-3 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja |
| 21/09/24 Romania Liga III | Recolta Gheorghe Doja | 2-2 | CSA Axiopolis |
| 11/05/24 Romania Liga III | Recolta Gheorghe Doja | 2-0 | CSA Axiopolis |
Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 4
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Agricola Borcea | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | CS Agigea | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Inainte Modelu | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 13 |
| 4 | CS Sporting Liesti | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 12 |
| 5 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
| 6 | CSA Axiopolis | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| 7 | Dunarea Calarasi | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 10 |
| 8 | Unirea Branistea | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 9 |
| 9 | ACS Progresul Fundulea | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 9 |
| 10 | Gloria Baneasa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 4 |
| 11 | Otelul Galati II | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 3 |
| 12 | CS Portul Constanta | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CSA Axiopolis | Recolta Gheorghe Doja |
|---|---|---|
| ACS Progresul Fundulea | 0-4 L | 2-1 W |
| FC Agricola Borcea | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Otelul Galati II | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Dunarea Calarasi | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Inainte Modelu | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| Gloria Baneasa | 2-1 W | 5-1 W |
| Steaua Bucharest II | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 5 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Recolta Gheorghe Doja (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CSA Axiopolis
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Unirea Branistea Romania Liga III |
3-1 | 4-3 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 23/09 | ACS Progresul Fundulea Romania Liga III |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 19/09 | FC Agricola Borcea Romania Liga III |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/09 | Otelul Galati II Romania Liga III |
– | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Dunarea Calarasi Romania Liga III |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 28/08 | Inainte Modelu Romania Liga III |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | Gloria Baneasa Romania Liga III |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | ACS Progresul Fundulea Romania Liga III |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 01/05 | Steaua Bucharest II Romania Liga III |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 24/04 | Dinamo Bucharest II Romania Liga III |
3-0 | 4-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | ACS Progresul Fundulea Romania Liga III |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/09 | FC Agricola Borcea Romania Liga III |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | Otelul Galati II Romania Liga III |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/09 | Dunarea Calarasi Romania Liga III |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/09 | Inainte Modelu Romania Liga III |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | CS Agigea Romania Liga III |
2-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 16/05 | FC Voluntari II Romania Liga III |
– | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Gloria Baneasa Romania Liga III |
– | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | ACS Progresul Fundulea Romania Liga III |
– | 2-6 | – | – | L |
| 24/04 | Steaua Bucharest II Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CSA Axiopolis vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CSA Axiopolis win (43%). Probabilities: CSA Axiopolis 43%, draw 23%, Recolta Gheorghe Doja 34%.
How many goals are expected in CSA Axiopolis vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja?
The model expects 4.04 goals (CSA Axiopolis 2.15 · Recolta Gheorghe Doja 1.9), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CSA Axiopolis vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.