Football · Romania Liga III · 26/09, 16:00

Prediction: USV Iasi vs CS Gheorgheni

Team pages: USV Iasi

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.62Total
USV Iasi1.94
CS Gheorgheni0.68
1X2
67% 22% 12%
USV Iasi Draw CS Gheorgheni
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
USV Iasi 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
DDDLWWDWWW
CS Gheorgheni 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
DLLLWLLWLW
Head-to-head
USV Iasi 1–1–1 CS Gheorgheni (3 last)
  • CS Gheorgheni2-0USV Iasi
  • CS Gheorgheni0-1USV Iasi
  • USV Iasi1-1CS Gheorgheni
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · USV Iasi 1574 · CS Gheorgheni 1472
USV IasiDrawCS Gheorgheni
Our model66%22%11%
Market67%21%12%
Estimated total (ours) 2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours USV Iasi (rating 1574 vs 1472).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

USV IasiCS Gheorgheni
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.41.4 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.80 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)17/67/17%0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)3.5 / 5.1– / 2.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.13.5 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · USV Iasi 1–1–1 CS Gheorgheni

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/04/26
Romania Liga III
CS Gheorgheni2-0USV Iasi
07/03/26
Romania Liga III
CS Gheorgheni0-1USV Iasi
10/10/25
Romania Liga III
USV Iasi1-1
HT 0-1
CS Gheorgheni

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CSSM Vaslui 5410 12513
2 USV Iasi 5410 7313
3 ACS FC Bacau II 5311 8610
3 CSM Adjud 5311 8610
5 Odorheiu Secuiesc 5230 639
6 CS Bradul Putna 5212 1597
7 Aerostar Bacau 5203 586
8 CS Gheorgheni 5203 996
9 ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc 5122 10115
10 Viitorul Onesti 5113 874
11 FC Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt 5014 1121
12 CSM Pascani 5005 6160

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUSV IasiCS Gheorgheni
CSM Adjud 2-1 W 0-4 L
ACS FC Bacau II 2-1 W 1-3 L
Viitorul Onesti 0-0 D 2-0 W
ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc 2-1 W 2-4 L
Odorheiu Secuiesc 1-1 D 0-1 L
CSSM Vaslui 2-2 D 0-1 L
Record vs common 3 W 3 D 0 L 1 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: USV Iasi (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

USV Iasi

DDDLWWDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/09 CSM Adjud
Romania Liga III
1-0 2-1 63 W
19/09 ACS FC Bacau II
Romania Liga III
1-1 2-1 63 W
12/09 FC Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt
Romania Liga III
– 1-0 45 W
05/09 Viitorul Onesti
Romania Liga III
– 0-0 –– D
29/08 ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc
Romania Liga III
1-1 2-1 76 W
16/05 ACS FC Bacau II
Romania Liga III
– 2-1 –– W
09/05 Acs Bucovina Radauti
Romania Liga III
– 1-6 –– L
01/05 Odorheiu Secuiesc
Romania Liga III
0-1 1-1 53 D
25/04 CSSM Vaslui
Romania Liga III
1-1 2-2 06 D
17/04 CSM Adjud
Romania Liga III
1-1 1-1 86 D

CS Gheorgheni

DLLLWLLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/09 Viitorul Onesti
Romania Liga III
– 2-0 –– W
19/09 ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc
Romania Liga III
– 2-4 –– L
12/09 CSM Pascani
Romania Liga III
– 4-2 –– W
04/09 Aerostar Bacau
Romania Liga III
– 1-2 –– L
29/08 Odorheiu Secuiesc
Romania Liga III
– 0-1 –– L
16/05 Odorheiu Secuiesc
Romania Liga III
– 2-1 –– W
09/05 CSSM Vaslui
Romania Liga III
0-0 0-1 14 L
02/05 CSM Adjud
Romania Liga III
– 0-4 –– L
24/04 ACS FC Bacau II
Romania Liga III
0-0 1-3 43 L
17/04 Aerostar Bacau
Romania Liga III
– 2-2 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in USV Iasi vs CS Gheorgheni?

According to our model, the most likely result is a USV Iasi win (67%). Probabilities: USV Iasi 67%, draw 22%, CS Gheorgheni 12%.

How many goals are expected in USV Iasi vs CS Gheorgheni?

The model expects 2.62 goals (USV Iasi 1.94 · CS Gheorgheni 0.68), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in USV Iasi vs CS Gheorgheni?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.