Football · Romania Liga III · 25/09, 16:00

Prediction: ACS Medias 2022 vs Tricolorul Breaza

Team pages: ACS Medias 2022 · Tricolorul Breaza

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.41Total
ACS Medias 20222.29
Tricolorul Breaza1.12
1X2
63% 19% 17%
ACS Medias 2022 Draw Tricolorul Breaza
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
ACS Medias 2022 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WLDLWWLDDW
Tricolorul Breaza 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
WWLLLLLLLD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ACS Medias 2022 1535 · Tricolorul Breaza 1412
ACS Medias 2022DrawTricolorul Breaza
Our model63%21%17%
Market64%18%18%
Estimated total (ours) 3.41 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ACS Medias 2022 (rating 1535 vs 1412).
  • High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ACS Medias 2022Tricolorul Breaza
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.31.1 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)1.5 / 00.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)100/0/0%50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)4 / 82 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2 / 02.5 / 0.3

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 ACS Sepsi II 5401 13612
2 ACS Olimpic Zarnesti 5401 10812
3 Corona Brasov 5320 14311
4 CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte 5311 13910
5 CSO Baicoi 5230 959
6 FC Inter Sibiu 5302 1039
7 ACS Medias 2022 5221 1068
8 ACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung Muscel 5131 10106
9 CSM Sacele 5203 696
10 Tricolorul Breaza 5014 4141
11 ACS Kids Tampa Brasov 5005 2110
12 CS Carpati Covasna 5005 4210

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentACS Medias 2022Tricolorul Breaza
Corona Brasov 1-3 L 0-0 D
CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte 3-0 W 1-5 L
FC Inter Sibiu 2-1 W 0-4 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 1 L 0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: ACS Medias 2022 (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ACS Medias 2022

WLDLWWLDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/09 CS Carpati Covasna
Romania Liga III
4-1 W
18/09 ACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung Muscel
Romania Liga III
1-1 D
11/09 CSO Baicoi
Romania Liga III
1-1 D
05/09 Corona Brasov
Romania Liga III
1-3 L
28/08 CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte
Romania Liga III
2-0 3-0 101 W
16/05 CS Viitorul Daesti
Romania Liga III
3-1 W
08/05 Unirea Bascov
Romania Liga III
0-1 L
01/05 CSM Targu Jiu
Romania Liga III
1-0 1-1 63 D
24/04 ACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung Muscel
Romania Liga III
1-3 L
17/04 FC Inter Sibiu
Romania Liga III
2-1 W

Tricolorul Breaza

WWLLLLLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/09 Corona Brasov
Romania Liga III
0-0 D
19/09 CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte
Romania Liga III
1-1 1-5 42 L
12/09 ACS Olimpic Zarnesti
Romania Liga III
1-2 L
04/09 ACS Sepsi II
Romania Liga III
1-0 2-3 55 L
29/08 FC Inter Sibiu
Romania Liga III
0-4 L
22/05 Inainte Modelu
Romania Liga III
2-3 L
16/05 Gloria Popesti Leordeni
Romania Liga III
0-0 0-3 31 L
09/05 FC Agricola Borcea
Romania Liga III
0-6 L
01/05 Dunarea Calarasi
Romania Liga III
3-0 W
25/04 Inainte Modelu
Romania Liga III
1-0 2-1 33 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ACS Medias 2022 vs Tricolorul Breaza?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ACS Medias 2022 win (63%). Probabilities: ACS Medias 2022 63%, draw 19%, Tricolorul Breaza 17%.

How many goals are expected in ACS Medias 2022 vs Tricolorul Breaza?

The model expects 3.41 goals (ACS Medias 2022 2.29 · Tricolorul Breaza 1.12), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in ACS Medias 2022 vs Tricolorul Breaza?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.