Football · Romania Liga III · 23/09, 16:00

Prediction: ACS Progresul Fundulea vs CSA Axiopolis

Team pages: ACS Progresul Fundulea · CSA Axiopolis

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.59Total

ACS Progresul Fundulea2.05

CSA Axiopolis1.54

1X2

49% 23% 28%

ACS Progresul Fundulea Draw CSA Axiopolis

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

ACS Progresul Fundulea 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWLL

CSA Axiopolis 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWDLWDWWL

Head-to-head

ACS Progresul Fundulea 5–1 CSA Axiopolis (6 last)

ACS Progresul Fundulea3-1CSA Axiopolis
ACS Progresul Fundulea2-1CSA Axiopolis
CSA Axiopolis0-1ACS Progresul Fundulea
ACS Progresul Fundulea4-0CSA Axiopolis
CSA Axiopolis0-1ACS Progresul Fundulea
CSA Axiopolis3-1ACS Progresul Fundulea

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ACS Progresul Fundulea 1566 · CSA Axiopolis 1526

	ACS Progresul Fundulea	Draw	CSA Axiopolis
Our model	49%	23%	28%
Market	49%	23%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.59 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ACS Progresul Fundulea (rating 1566 vs 1526).
H2H favours ACS Progresul Fundulea: 5-0-1.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ACS Progresul Fundulea	CSA Axiopolis
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 1.4	1.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	2.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/67/0%	75/25/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6	0 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.80

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:52 +14’	1.83	3.80	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · ACS Progresul Fundulea 5–0–1 CSA Axiopolis

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Romania Liga III	ACS Progresul Fundulea	3-1 HT 1-1	CSA Axiopolis
15/11/25 Romania Liga III	ACS Progresul Fundulea	2-1	CSA Axiopolis
06/09/25 Romania Liga III	CSA Axiopolis	0-1	ACS Progresul Fundulea
30/11/24 Romania Liga III	ACS Progresul Fundulea	4-0	CSA Axiopolis
28/09/24 Romania Liga III	CSA Axiopolis	0-1	ACS Progresul Fundulea
08/05/24 Romania Liga III	CSA Axiopolis	3-1	ACS Progresul Fundulea

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 4

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Agricola Borcea	4	4	0	0	11	4	12
2	CS Agigea	4	3	1	0	9	4	10
3	CS Sporting Liesti	4	3	0	1	13	7	9
4	CSA Axiopolis	4	2	1	1	8	4	7
5	Inainte Modelu	4	2	1	1	10	7	7
6	Unirea Branistea	4	2	0	2	8	6	6
7	Recolta Gheorghe Doja	4	2	0	2	9	10	6
8	ACS Progresul Fundulea	4	2	0	2	9	9	6
9	CS Portul Constanta	4	1	0	3	6	10	3
10	Dunarea Calarasi	4	1	0	3	2	7	3
11	Gloria Baneasa	4	0	1	3	1	9	1
12	Otelul Galati II	4	0	0	4	2	11	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ACS Progresul Fundulea	CSA Axiopolis
FC Agricola Borcea	2-4 L	2-3 L
Otelul Galati II	4-1 W	2-0 W
Dunarea Calarasi	1-0 W	3-0 W
CS Agigea	2-0 W	1-1 D
Gloria Baneasa	4-1 W	2-1 W
FC Voluntari II	4-0 W	2-1 W
Steaua Bucharest II	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 1 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: ACS Progresul Fundulea (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ACS Progresul Fundulea

WWWWWWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Unirea Branistea Romania Liga III	1-1	2-4	5	6	L
12/09	FC Agricola Borcea Romania Liga III	–	2-4	–	–	L
05/09	Otelul Galati II Romania Liga III	–	4-1	–	–	W
28/08	Dunarea Calarasi Romania Liga III	–	1-0	–	–	W
16/05	CS Agigea Romania Liga III	–	2-0	–	–	W
09/05	CSA Axiopolis Romania Liga III	1-1	3-1	6	5	W
02/05	Recolta Gheorghe Doja Romania Liga III	–	6-2	–	–	W
25/04	Gloria Baneasa Romania Liga III	–	4-1	–	–	W
18/04	FC Voluntari II Romania Liga III	1-0	4-0	7	2	W
10/04	Steaua Bucharest II Romania Liga III	–	2-1	–	–	W

CSA Axiopolis

WDWDLWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	FC Agricola Borcea Romania Liga III	–	2-3	–	–	L
11/09	Otelul Galati II Romania Liga III	–	2-0	7	3	W
05/09	Dunarea Calarasi Romania Liga III	3-0	3-0	4	0	W
28/08	Inainte Modelu Romania Liga III	–	1-1	–	–	D
16/05	Gloria Baneasa Romania Liga III	–	2-1	–	–	W
09/05	ACS Progresul Fundulea Romania Liga III	1-1	1-3	7	5	L
01/05	Steaua Bucharest II Romania Liga III	–	1-1	–	–	D
24/04	Dinamo Bucharest II Romania Liga III	3-0	4-2	2	6	W
18/04	CS Agigea Romania Liga III	–	1-1	–	–	D
10/04	FC Voluntari II Romania Liga III	2-1	2-1	8	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ACS Progresul Fundulea vs CSA Axiopolis?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ACS Progresul Fundulea win (49%). Probabilities: ACS Progresul Fundulea 49%, draw 23%, CSA Axiopolis 28%.

How many goals are expected in ACS Progresul Fundulea vs CSA Axiopolis?

The model expects 3.59 goals (ACS Progresul Fundulea 2.05 · CSA Axiopolis 1.54), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in ACS Progresul Fundulea vs CSA Axiopolis?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.