Football · Romania Liga III · 26/09, 16:00

Prediction: Progresul Mogosoaia vs Cetatea Turnu Magurele

Team pages: Progresul Mogosoaia · Cetatea Turnu Magurele

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.19Total
Progresul Mogosoaia1.5
Cetatea Turnu Magurele1.7
1X2
33% 25% 42%
Progresul Mogosoaia Draw Cetatea Turnu Magurele
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Progresul Mogosoaia 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WLWWWDWWLL
Cetatea Turnu Magurele 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LLLWWLWLDW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Progresul Mogosoaia 1525 · Cetatea Turnu Magurele 1499
Progresul MogosoaiaDrawCetatea Turnu Magurele
Our model33%25%42%
Market33%25%42%
Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Progresul MogosoaiaCetatea Turnu Magurele
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.42.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.60.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/75/25%0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 4.32 / 2.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 0.17.5 / 0.3

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 5

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CS Omega Sport Bucuresti 5410 6213
2 Dunarea Giurgiu 5320 10511
3 ACS Inter Ilfov 5311 11810
4 Acs Axi Arena 5302 439
5 Dinamo Bucharest II 5302 659
6 CSM Alexandria 5221 868
7 Cetatea Turnu Magurele 5212 1467
8 Progresul Mogosoaia 5212 577
9 Oxigen Bucuresti 5113 6114
10 AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti 5104 663
11 Steaua Bucharest II 5104 5183
12 FC Voluntari II 5014 481

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentProgresul MogosoaiaCetatea Turnu Magurele
Dinamo Bucharest II 0-3 L 3-1 W
FC Voluntari II 1-0 W 2-2 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Progresul Mogosoaia

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/09 CS Omega Sport Bucuresti
Romania Liga III
0-0 0-1 34 L
19/09 Dinamo Bucharest II
Romania Liga III
0-0 0-3 54 L
12/09 AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
Romania Liga III
1-1 2-1 62 W
04/09 FC Voluntari II
Romania Liga III
– 1-0 –– W
28/08 CSM Alexandria
Romania Liga III
– 2-2 –– D
16/05 CSO Baicoi
Romania Liga III
1-1 4-2 16 W
09/05 CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte
Romania Liga III
0-1 2-1 74 W
01/05 CS Urban Titu
Romania Liga III
0-0 2-0 –– W
25/04 Vointa 2024 Crevedia
Romania Liga III
1-2 1-4 26 L
18/04 ACS Kids Tampa Brasov
Romania Liga III
0-0 1-0 63 W

Cetatea Turnu Magurele

LLLWWLWLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/09 Dinamo Bucharest II
Romania Liga III
0-1 3-1 34 W
18/09 FC Voluntari II
Romania Liga III
– 2-2 –– D
11/09 Acs Axi Arena
Romania Liga III
– 0-1 –– L
04/09 Steaua Bucharest II
Romania Liga III
– 9-0 –– W
29/08 Dunarea Giurgiu
Romania Liga III
– 0-2 –– L
22/05 CS Vulturii Farcasesti
Romania Liga III
– 4-2 –– W
16/05 Jiul Petrosani
Romania Liga III
– 2-0 –– W
08/05 CSM Ramnicu Valcea
Romania Liga III
0-1 0-3 211 L
02/05 Minerul Lupeni
Romania Liga III
0-0 0-2 15 L
24/04 CS Vulturii Farcasesti
Romania Liga III
1-1 1-3 311 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Progresul Mogosoaia vs Cetatea Turnu Magurele?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Cetatea Turnu Magurele win (42%). Probabilities: Progresul Mogosoaia 33%, draw 25%, Cetatea Turnu Magurele 42%.

How many goals are expected in Progresul Mogosoaia vs Cetatea Turnu Magurele?

The model expects 3.19 goals (Progresul Mogosoaia 1.5 · Cetatea Turnu Magurele 1.7), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Progresul Mogosoaia vs Cetatea Turnu Magurele?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.