Football · Romania Liga III · 23/09, 16:00

Prediction: ACS Viitorul Arad vs Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII

Team pages: ACS Viitorul Arad · Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.77Total

ACS Viitorul Arad1.5

Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII1.27

1X2

42% 26% 31%

ACS Viitorul Arad Draw Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

ACS Viitorul Arad 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLDDWL

Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WLDDWLLDDW

Head-to-head

ACS Viitorul Arad 1–1–2 Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII (4 last)

Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII2-1ACS Viitorul Arad
ACS Viitorul Arad3-0Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII
Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII1-1ACS Viitorul Arad
ACS Viitorul Arad1-2Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ACS Viitorul Arad 1425 · Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII 1484

	ACS Viitorul Arad	Draw	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII
Our model	42%	28%	31%
Market	43%	26%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII (rating 1425 vs 1484).
H2H favours Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ACS Viitorul Arad	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.9	1.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 1	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/17/83%	67/17/17%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.5	2 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.2	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.50

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
11:57 +8’	2.10	3.50	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · ACS Viitorul Arad 1–1–2 Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/03/26 Romania Liga III	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII	2-1 HT 1-1	ACS Viitorul Arad
10/10/25 Romania Liga III	ACS Viitorul Arad	3-0 HT 0-0	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII
15/03/25 Romania Liga III	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII	1-1 HT 0-0	ACS Viitorul Arad
25/10/24 Romania Liga III	ACS Viitorul Arad	1-2	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 7

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ACS CIL Blaj	4	4	0	0	9	3	12
2	CS Timisul Sag	4	3	1	0	7	1	10
3	CSM Deva	4	2	2	0	8	3	8
4	CS Unirea Santana	4	2	0	2	6	3	6
5	Unirea Alba Iulia	4	1	2	1	4	4	5
6	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII	4	1	2	1	5	6	5
7	ACS Viitorul Arad	4	1	2	1	4	5	5
8	ACS Progresul Pecica	4	1	1	2	6	8	4
9	Stinta Poli Timisoara 2	4	1	0	3	7	15	3
10	CSU Alba Iulia	4	0	3	1	4	5	3
11	CS Metalurgistul Cugir	4	0	2	2	5	8	2
12	FC Nera Bogodinti	4	0	1	3	2	6	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ACS Viitorul Arad	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII
ACS CIL Blaj	1-3 L	1-1 D
CS Unirea Santana	1-0 W	0-2 L
CSU Alba Iulia	2-2 D	4-0 W
ACS Progresul Pecica	0-0 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ACS Viitorul Arad

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	ACS CIL Blaj Romania Liga III	0-2	1-3	7	9	L
12/09	CS Unirea Santana Romania Liga III	–	1-0	–	–	W
04/09	CSU Alba Iulia Romania Liga III	0-1	2-2	2	5	D
29/08	ACS Progresul Pecica Romania Liga III	0-0	0-0	7	7	D
22/05	SCM Zalau Romania Liga III	0-1	0-2	3	7	L
16/05	CS Minaur Baia Mare Romania Liga III	–	0-2	–	–	L
08/05	CS Sanatatea Cluj Romania Liga III	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
02/05	AFC Unirea Tasnad Romania Liga III	–	2-3	–	–	L
24/04	SCM Zalau Romania Liga III	–	0-3	–	–	L
17/04	CS Minaur Baia Mare Romania Liga III	0-1	1-2	4	4	L

Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII

WLDDWLLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	FC Nera Bogodinti Romania Liga III	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
12/09	Unirea Alba Iulia Romania Liga III	0-0	0-0	0	4	D
04/09	CS Metalurgistul Cugir Romania Liga III	2-1	3-3	2	3	D
28/08	CS Timisul Sag Romania Liga III	0-1	0-2	6	4	L
16/05	CS Timisul Sag Romania Liga III	–	3-4	–	–	L
08/05	CSU Alba Iulia Romania Liga III	2-0	4-0	6	2	W
01/05	ACS CIL Blaj Romania Liga III	–	1-1	–	–	D
24/04	ACS Progresul Pecica Romania Liga III	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
10/04	CS Unirea Santana Romania Liga III	–	0-2	–	–	L
03/04	Acs Unirea Dmo Romania Liga III	–	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ACS Viitorul Arad vs Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ACS Viitorul Arad win (42%). Probabilities: ACS Viitorul Arad 42%, draw 26%, Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII 31%.

How many goals are expected in ACS Viitorul Arad vs Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII?

The model expects 2.77 goals (ACS Viitorul Arad 1.5 · Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII 1.27), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in ACS Viitorul Arad vs Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.