Football · Romania Liga III · 25/09, 16:00
Prediction: CS Timisul Sag vs CSU Alba Iulia
Team pages: CS Timisul Sag · CSU Alba Iulia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.15Total
CS Timisul Sag1.89
CSU Alba Iulia1.26
1X2
CS Timisul Sag
Draw
CSU Alba Iulia
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
CS Timisul Sag
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
CSU Alba Iulia
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CS Timisul Sag
1–1–1
CSU Alba Iulia
(3 last)
- CSU Alba Iulia1-1CS Timisul Sag
- CSU Alba Iulia0-1CS Timisul Sag
- CS Timisul Sag2-3CSU Alba Iulia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CS Timisul Sag 1550 · CSU Alba Iulia 1460
| CS Timisul Sag | Draw | CSU Alba Iulia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 24% | 24% |
| Market | 51% | 24% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CS Timisul Sag (rating 1550 vs 1460).
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CS Timisul Sag | CSU Alba Iulia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.3 | 1.8 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6.8 | 1.5 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.3 | 3.3 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Timisul Sag 1–1–1 CSU Alba Iulia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 Romania Liga III | CSU Alba Iulia | 1-1 | CS Timisul Sag |
| 07/11/25 Romania Liga III | CSU Alba Iulia | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CS Timisul Sag |
| 29/08/25 Romania Liga III | CS Timisul Sag | 2-3 HT 1-2 | CSU Alba Iulia |
Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 7
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ACS CIL Blaj | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | CS Timisul Sag | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | CS Unirea Santana | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Unirea Alba Iulia | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | CSM Deva | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 8 |
| 6 | ACS Progresul Pecica | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 7 |
| 7 | Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 8 | ACS Viitorul Arad | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | CS Metalurgistul Cugir | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
| 10 | SSU Politehnica Timisoara II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 3 |
| 11 | CSU Alba Iulia | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 3 |
| 12 | FC Nera Bogodinti | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CS Timisul Sag | CSU Alba Iulia |
|---|---|---|
| ACS Progresul Pecica | 3-0 W | 0-6 L |
| CSM Deva | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII | 2-0 W | 0-4 L |
| CS Unirea Santana | 0-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Acs Unirea Dmo | 2-1 W | 5-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CS Timisul Sag
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Unirea Alba Iulia Romania Liga III |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 18/09 | ACS Progresul Pecica Romania Liga III |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 11/09 | CS Metalurgistul Cugir Romania Liga III |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/09 | CSM Deva Romania Liga III |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 28/08 | Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII Romania Liga III |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII Romania Liga III |
– | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | CS Unirea Santana Romania Liga III |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 01/05 | Acs Unirea Dmo Romania Liga III |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 17/04 | CSU Alba Iulia Romania Liga III |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/04 | ACS CIL Blaj Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
CSU Alba Iulia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | ACS Progresul Pecica Romania Liga III |
– | 0-6 | – | – | L |
| 18/09 | CSM Deva Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 11/09 | Stinta Poli Timisoara 2 Romania Liga III |
– | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 04/09 | ACS Viitorul Arad Romania Liga III |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | FC Nera Bogodinti Romania Liga III |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | ACS Progresul Pecica Romania Liga III |
2-0 | 6-2 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII Romania Liga III |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | CS Unirea Santana Romania Liga III |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Acs Unirea Dmo Romania Liga III |
– | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/04 | CS Timisul Sag Romania Liga III |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CS Timisul Sag vs CSU Alba Iulia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CS Timisul Sag win (51%). Probabilities: CS Timisul Sag 51%, draw 24%, CSU Alba Iulia 24%.
How many goals are expected in CS Timisul Sag vs CSU Alba Iulia?
The model expects 3.15 goals (CS Timisul Sag 1.89 · CSU Alba Iulia 1.26), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in CS Timisul Sag vs CSU Alba Iulia?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.